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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910788523603321 |
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Autore |
Tsangarides Charalambos |
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Titolo |
FEER for the CFA Franc / / Charalambos Tsangarides, Yasser Abdih |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 |
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ISBN |
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1-4623-9318-7 |
1-4527-7838-8 |
1-282-44791-2 |
1-4519-0949-7 |
9786613821119 |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (42 p.) |
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Collana |
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Altri autori (Persone) |
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Soggetti |
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Foreign exchange rates - French franc area |
Franc, CFA |
Monetary unions - Africa, French-speaking |
Econometrics |
Foreign Exchange |
Macroeconomics |
Time-Series Models |
Dynamic Quantile Regressions |
Dynamic Treatment Effect Models |
Diffusion Processes |
State Space Models |
Forecasting and Other Model Applications |
Open Economy Macroeconomics |
Macroeconomics: Consumption |
Saving |
Wealth |
Currency |
Foreign exchange |
Econometrics & economic statistics |
Real effective exchange rates |
Real exchange rates |
Exchange rates |
Vector autoregression |
Government consumption |
Econometric analysis |
National accounts |
Consumption |
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Economics |
Equatorial Guinea, Republic of |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references (p.37-40). |
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Nota di contenuto |
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""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. BACKGROUND""; ""III. METHODOLOGY AND DATA""; ""IV. EMPIRICAL RESULTS""; ""V. CONCLUSION""; ""REFERENCES"" |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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We apply the fundamentals equilibrium exchange rate (FEER) approach and the Johansen cointegration methodology to investigate the behavior of the real effective exchange rates of the two monetary unions of the CFA franc zone (CEMAC and WAEMU) vis-à-vis their long-run equilibrium paths. For both CEMAC and WAEMU, our results indicate that: (i) the fundamentals account for most of the fluctuation of the real effective exchange rates, with increases in the terms of trade, government consumption, and productivity improvements causing the exchange rate to appreciate, and increases in investment and openness leading to a depreciation; (ii) at end-2005 both the CEMAC and WAEMU real effective exchange rates were broadly in line with their long-run equilibrium values; and (iii) following a shock, reversion to equilibrium is twice as fast in WAEMU than in CEMAC. |
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2. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA9910788228503321 |
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Autore |
Cerra Valerie |
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Titolo |
International Evidence on Recovery from Recessions / / Valerie Cerra, Sweta Saxena, Ugo Panizza |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
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ISBN |
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1-4623-5273-1 |
1-4527-9950-4 |
1-4518-7330-1 |
9786612843938 |
1-282-84393-1 |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (32 p.) |
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Collana |
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Altri autori (Persone) |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Financial crises |
Recessions |
Business cycles |
Foreign exchange administration |
Foreign exchange market |
Commercial policy |
Banks and Banking |
Exports and Imports |
Foreign Exchange |
Macroeconomics |
Public Finance |
Fiscal Policy |
Financial Crises |
Current Account Adjustment |
Short-term Capital Movements |
Economic & financial crises & disasters |
Currency |
Foreign exchange |
International economics |
Exchange rate arrangements |
Fiscal policy |
Banking crises |
Capital account |
Currency crises |
Balance of payments |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Contents; I. Introduction; II. Methodology and Data; III. Results; IV. The Aftermath of Banking Crises; V. Conclusions; Tables; 1: Speed of Recovery after Recessions (FE regressions); 2: Countries with population less than 1 million are excluded from the sample; 3: Country Size; 4: Monetary Policy; 5: Fiscal Policy; 6: Fiscal Policy (alternative definition); 7: Foreign Aid; 8: Exchange Rate Regime (Floating); 9: Exchange Rate Regime (Fixed and Intermediate); 10: Exchange Rate Regime and Currency Crises (Floating); 11: Exchange Rate Regime and Currency Crises (Fixed and Intermediate) |
12: The Real Exchange Rate 13: The Real Exchange Rate and Currency Crises; 14: Labor Market Rigidities; 15: Effective Labor Market Rigidities; 16: Trade Openness; 17: Trade Openness and Country Size; 18: Trade Openness and Real External Shocks; 19: Trade Openness and Depth of Recession; 20: Trade Openness and Fiscal Policy (alternative definition); 21: Capital Account Openness; 22: Capital Account Openness and Trade Openness; 23: Controlling for Depth of Recession; 24: Normal Recessions and Banking Crises; 25: Normal Recessions and Banking Crises. The Effect of Fiscal Policy |
26: Normal Recessions and Banking Crises. The Effect of Foreign Aid 27: Normal Recessions and Banking Crises. The Effect of Openness; 28: Normal recessions and Banking Crises. The Effect of the Exchange Rate Regime; Appendix: Data sources; References |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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Although negative shocks have persistent effects on output on average, this paper shows that macroeconomic policies and the structure of the economy can influence the speed of recovery and mitigate the persistence of the shock. Indeed, monetary and fiscal stimulus and foreign aid can spur a rebound, with impacts that are asymmetrically stronger than in nonrecovery years. Real depreciation and the exchange rate regime also have asymmetric growth effects in a recovery year relative to other years of expansion. Recoveries are more sluggish in open economies, partly because fiscal policy is less effective than in closed economies. |
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