1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788223303321

Autore

N'Diaye Papa

Titolo

Macroeconomic Implications for Hong Kong SAR of Accommodative U.S. Monetary Policy / / Papa N'Diaye

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

1-4623-3154-8

9786612844508

1-4527-3391-0

1-4518-7402-2

1-282-84450-4

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (30 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Soggetti

Monetary policy - United States

Economics - China - Hong Kong

Inflation

Labor

Macroeconomics

Money and Monetary Policy

Public Finance

Price Level

Deflation

Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General

Fiscal Policy

Labor Demand

Monetary economics

Labour

income economics

Asset prices

Credit

Fiscal policy

Self-employment

Prices

Self-employed

Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese



Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Implications for Hong Kong SAR of U.S. Monetary Policy; A. The Fed's Unconventional Monetary Policy Actions; B. Impact on Hong Kong SAR; III. A Simulation of Hong Kong SAR Asset and Goods Markets When Confronted by an Accommodative U.S. Monetary Stance; A. Model Overview; B. Model Simulations; IV. Conclusions; References; Footnotes

Sommario/riassunto

This paper discusses the potential macroeconomic implications for Hong Kong SAR of accommodative monetary policy in the United States. It shows, through model simulations, that a resumption of the credit channel in Hong Kong SAR has the potential to create inflation in both goods and asset markets. Expansionary financial conditions will likely have a greater impact in fueling asset price inflation, manifested in the model through a strong increase in equity prices. Higher asset prices could, in turn, through a financial accelerator mechanism, lead to further credit expansion and an upward cycle of asset prices and credit. This cycle, if unchecked, can potentially feed into volatility in consumption, output and employment and complicate macroeconomic management. The simulation results suggest there is a role for countercyclical prudential regulations to mitigate the amplitude of the cycle and lessen the financial and macroeconomic volatility associated with an unwinding of the credit-asset price cycle.