| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA9910787671403321 |
|
|
Autore |
Carabenciov Ioan |
|
|
Titolo |
GPM6 : : The Global Projection Model with 6 Regions / / Ioan Carabenciov, Charles Freedman, Roberto Garcia-Saltos, Douglas Laxton, Ondrej Kamenik, Petar Manchev |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pubbl/distr/stampa |
|
|
Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ISBN |
|
1-4843-9170-5 |
1-4843-0277-X |
1-4843-2538-9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Descrizione fisica |
|
1 online resource (80 p.) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Collana |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Altri autori (Persone) |
|
FreedmanCharles |
Garcia-SaltosRoberto |
LaxtonDouglas |
KamenikOndrej |
ManchevPetar |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Soggetti |
|
Economic policy - Mathematical models |
Economics - Mathematical models |
Banks and Banking |
Foreign Exchange |
Inflation |
Production and Operations Management |
Model Construction and Estimation |
Price Level |
Deflation |
Monetary Policy |
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects |
Macroeconomics: Production |
Macroeconomics |
Currency |
Foreign exchange |
Finance |
Banking |
Real exchange rates |
Output gap |
Real interest rates |
Central bank policy rate |
Production |
Financial services |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prices |
Interest rates |
Economic theory |
United States |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lingua di pubblicazione |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
|
|
|
|
|
Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
|
|
|
|
|
Note generali |
|
Description based upon print version of record. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nota di bibliografia |
|
Includes bibliographical references. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nota di contenuto |
|
Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Background to the Model Specification; III. The specification of the model; A. Data definitions; B. Stochastic processes; 1. Potential Output; 2. NAIRU; 3. Equilibrium real interest rate; 4. Real exchange rate; C. Behavioral equations for the G3 economies; 1. Output Gap; 2. Inflation; 3. Policy Interest Rate; 4. Medium-term Interest Rate; 5. Uncovered Interest Parity; 6. Unemployment Rate; D. Differences in specification of behavioral equations for the emerging economies; 1. Output Gap; 2. Uncovered Interest Parity; 3. Unemployment Rate |
IV. Confronting the Model with the DataA. Bayesian estimation; 1. General approach; 2. Calibration and estimation in the GPM6 model; B. Results; 1. Estimated and calibrated coefficients; 2. Root Mean Squared Errors; 3. Variance decompositions; 4. Impulse response functions; 5. A global demand shock; V. Concluding Remarks; References; Appendix 1: GPM6 Data Definitions; Tables; 1. GPM6 Parameters Table; 2. Results from estimation of parameters in GPM6 (sample 1994Q1-2007Q4); 3. GPM6 Trade and Spillovers Table; 4. GPM6 Trade and Spillovers Table[2] |
5. Results from estimation - standard deviation of structural shocks[1]6. Results from estimation - standard deviation of structural shocks[2]; 7. Root Mean Squared Errors 1999Q1-2007Q4 .; 8. Variance Decomposition[1]; 9. Variance Decomposition[2]; Figures; 1. Shock to (Omitted); 2. Shock to (Omitted); 3. Shock to (Omitted); 4. Shock to (Omitted); 5. Shock to (Omitted); 6. Shock to (Omitted); 7. Shock to (Omitted); 8. Shock to (Omitted); 9. Shock to (Omitted); 10. Shock to (Omitted); 11. Shock to (Omitted); 12. Shock to (Omitted); 13. Shock to (Omitted); 14. Shock to (Omitted) |
15. Shock to (Omitted)16. Shock to (Omitted); 17. Shock to (Omitted); 18. Shock to (Omitted); 19. Shock to (Omitted); 20. Shock to (Omitted); 21. Shock to (Omitted); 22. Shock to (Omitted); 23. Global Demand Shock |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sommario/riassunto |
|
This is the sixth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we add three more regions and make a number of other changes to a previously estimated small quarterly projection model of the US, euro area, and Japanese economies. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques, which provide a very efficient way of imposing restrictions to produce both plausible dynamics and sensible forecasting properties. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA9910484517803321 |
|
|
Titolo |
Cyberspace and International Relations : Theory, Prospects and Challenges / / edited by Jan-Frederik Kremer, Benedikt Müller |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pubbl/distr/stampa |
|
|
Berlin, Heidelberg : , : Springer Berlin Heidelberg : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2014 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ISBN |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Edizione |
[1st ed. 2014.] |
|
|
|
|
|
Descrizione fisica |
|
1 online resource (302 p.) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Disciplina |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Soggetti |
|
International relations |
Computers and civilization |
Computer security |
Communication |
International Relations |
Computers and Society |
Systems and Data Security |
Communication Studies |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lingua di pubblicazione |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
|
|
|
|
|
Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
|
|
|
|
|
Note generali |
|
Description based upon print version of record. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nota di bibliografia |
|
Includes bibliographical references and index. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nota di contenuto |
|
Foreword -- Introduction -- Part I: The Cyberspace and IR - Theory.-Power Technology and Powerful Technologies - Global Governmentality and Security in the Cyberspace -- Cyber War and Strategic Thought - Do the Classic Theorists Still Matter? - SAM - A Framework to Understanding Emerging Challenges to States in an Interconnected World -- In Search of Cyber Stability - International Relations, Mutually Assured Destruction and the Age of Cyber Warfare -- Offense-Defense Balance in Cyber Warfare -- The Utility of Timeless Thoughts - Hannah Arendt's Conceptions of Power and Violence in the Age of Cyberization -- Part II: The Cyberspace and IR - Prospects and Challenges -- Clarifying the International Debate on Stuxnet - Arguments for Stuxnet as an Act of War -- A New Way of Conducting War - Cyberwar, Is That |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Real? - Peacekeeping 4.0 - Harnessing Potential of Big Data, Social Media, and Cyber Technologies.- US Leadership in Cyberspace - Transnational Cyber Security and Global Governance -- Hierarchies in Networks - Emerging Hybrids of Networks and Hierarchies for Producing Internet Security -- How the 2010 Attack on Google Changed the US Government's Threat Perception of Economic Cyber Espionage -- Cooperative International Approaches to Network Security - Understanding and Assessing OECD and ITU Efforts to Promote Shared Cybersecurity -- Phreak the Speak - The Flawed Communications within Cyber Intelligentsia -- Reflections on Virtual to Real - Modern Technique, International Security Studies and Cyber Security Environment -- Index. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sommario/riassunto |
|
Cyberspace is everywhere in today’s world and has significant implications not only for global economic activity, but also for international politics and transnational social relations. This compilation addresses for the first time the “cyberization” of international relations - the growing dependence of actors in IR on the infrastructure and instruments of the internet, and the penetration of cyberspace into all fields of their activities. The volume approaches this topical issue in a comprehensive and interdisciplinary fashion, bringing together scholars from disciplines such as IR, security studies, ICT studies and philosophy as well as experts from everyday cyber-practice. In the first part, concepts and theories are presented to shed light on the relationship between cyberspace and international relations, discussing implications for the discipline and presenting fresh and innovative theoretical approaches. Contributions in the second part focus on specific empirical fields of activity (security, economy, diplomacy, cultural activity, transnational communication, critical infrastructure, cyber espionage, social media, and more) and address emerging challenges and prospects for international politics and relations. . |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |