1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910786486703321

Autore

Igan Deniz

Titolo

Global Housing Cycles / / Deniz Igan, Prakash Loungani

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012

ISBN

1-4755-6679-4

1-4755-1825-0

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (57 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

IMF working paper ; ; WP/12/217

Altri autori (Persone)

LounganiPrakash

Soggetti

Housing

Housing - Prices

Infrastructure

Macroeconomics

Real Estate

Industries: Financial Services

Business Fluctuations

Cycles

Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General

Housing Supply and Markets

Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis

Banks

Depository Institutions

Micro Finance Institutions

Mortgages

Aggregate Factor Income Distribution

Price Level

Inflation

Deflation

Property & real estate

Finance

Housing prices

Income

Asset prices

Prices

National accounts

Financial institutions



Saving and investment

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Data; III. Empirical Analysis; A. Housing Cycles; B. Macroeconomic Consequences; IV. Conclusion; References; Tables; 1. House Price Cycles by Country; 2. Characteristics of House Price Cycles; 3. Price-to-Rent Ratio: Adjustment to Benchmark; 4. Modeling House Price Changes: Country-by-Country Regressions; 5. Modeling House Price Changes: Pooled Regressions; 6. Misalignment in House Prices: A Heat Map; 7. Macroeconomic Impact of House Price Corrections; 8. Macroeconomic Impact of House Price Corrections and Country Characteristics; Figures

1. An Unprecedented Global Housing Boom2. A Global Housing Boom Turning into a Global Bust; 3. Measuring House Prices: Differences in U.S. Indices; 4. National versus Sub-national Prices: Selected Indices in the U.K.; 5. Housing Markets: Price versus Quantity; 6. Regional Housing Markets: Prices versus Activity; 7. Global Housing Cycles: Concurrence of Local Markets; 8. Global Booms and Busts; 9. House Prices and Residential Investment; 10. Price-to-Income Ratio by Country; 11. Housing Affordability in the U.S.; 12. Housing Affordability in the U.S.: Now and Then

13. Price-to-Rent Ratio Adjustment in the U.S14. User Cost of Housing in the U.S.; 15. Back to Earth: Predicted and Actual House Price Changes; Appendix

Sommario/riassunto

Housing cycles and their impact on the financial system and the macroeconomy have become the center of attention following the global financial crisis. This paper documents the characteristics of housing cycles in a large set of countries, and examines the determinants of house price movements. Empirical analysis shows that house price dynamics are mostly driven by income and demographics but fluctuations in these fundamentals and credit conditions can create deviations from the implied equilibrium path. We conclude with a discussion of the macroeconomic implications of house price corrections.