1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910786481203321

Autore

Bianchi Javier

Titolo

Macro-prudential Policy in a Fisherian Model of Financial Innovation / / Javier Bianchi, Emine Boz, Enrique Mendoza

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012

ISBN

1-4755-4251-8

1-4755-7072-4

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (55 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

BozEmine

MendozaEnrique

Soggetti

Financial institutions - Management - Econometric models

Equilibrium (Economics) - Econometric models

Macroeconomics

Money and Monetary Policy

Real Estate

Taxation

Industries: Financial Services

Externalities

Asymmetric and Private Information

Business Fluctuations

Cycles

Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

Current Account Adjustment

Short-term Capital Movements

Open Economy Macroeconomics

Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General

Banks

Depository Institutions

Micro Finance Institutions

Mortgages

Price Level

Inflation

Deflation

Nonagricultural and Nonresidential Real Estate Markets

Tax Evasion and Avoidance

Monetary economics

Finance



Property & real estate

Public finance & taxation

Credit

Collateral

Asset prices

Land prices

Tax arrears management

Money

Financial institutions

Prices

Revenue administration

Loans

Housing

Tax administration and procedure

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Contents; 1.Introduction; 2 A Fisherian Model of Financial Innovation; 2.1 Decentralized Competitive Equilibrium; 2.2 Learning Environment; 2.3 Learning, Debt and Price Dynamics after Financial Innovation; 2.4 Recursive Anticipated Utility Competitive Equilibrium; 2.5 Conditionally Efficient Planners' Problems; 2.6 Pecuniary Externality and Decentralization of Planners' Allocations; 3 Quantitative Analysis; 3.1 Baseline Calibration; Tables; Table 1: Baseline Parameter Values; 3.2 Baseline Results; 3.3 Welfare Analysis; Table 2: Welfare Gains; 3.4 Sensitivity Analysis

Table 3: Summary of Priors4 Conclusion; Appendixes; Appendix: Recursive Optimization Problems; References; References; Figures; Figure 1: Dynamics in the Baseline Calibration; Figure 2: Period 40 Bond Holdings and Asset Prices; Figure 3: Period 41 Bond Holdings and Asset Prices; Figure 4: Crisis Episode; Figure 5: Taxes on Debt and Land Dividends; Figure 6: Decomposition of Taxes on Debt; Figure 7: Priors; Figure 8: Dynamics in Gradual Optimism Calibration; Figure 9: Period 40 Bond Holdings and Prices: Gradual Optimism; Figure 10: Taxes on Debt and Land Dividends: Gradual Optimism

Figure 11: Decomposition of Taxes on Debt: Gradual OptimismFigure 12: Dynamics in Asymmetric Priors Calibration; Figure 13: Taxes on Debt: Asymmetric Priors

Sommario/riassunto

The interaction between credit frictions, financial innovation, and a switch from optimistic to pessimistic beliefs played a central role in the 2008 financial crisis. This paper develops a quantitative general equilibrium framework in which this interaction drives the financial amplification mechanism to study the effects of macro-prudential policy. Financial innovation enhances the ability of agents to collateralize assets into debt, but the riskiness of this new regime can only be learned over time. Beliefs about transition probabilities across states with high and low ability to borrow change as agents learn from



observed realizations of financial conditions. At the same time, the collateral constraint introduces a pecuniary externality, because agents fail to internalize the effect of their borrowing decisions on asset prices. Quantitative analysis shows that the effectiveness of macro-prudential policy in this environment depends on the government's information set, the tightness of credit constraints and the pace at which optimism surges in the early stages of financial innovation. The policy is least effective when the government is as uninformed as private agents, credit constraints are tight, and optimism builds quickly.