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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910464010803321 |
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Autore |
Canales-Kriljenko Jorge Ivaán |
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Titolo |
Adding Latin America to the global projection model [[electronic resource] /] / prepared by Jorge Canales Kriljenko ... [et. al.] |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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[Washington D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, 2009 |
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ISBN |
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1-4623-3357-5 |
1-4527-5410-1 |
1-4518-7232-1 |
1-282-84305-2 |
9786612843051 |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (50 p.) |
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Collana |
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IMF working paper ; ; WP/09/85 |
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Soggetti |
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Globalization - Economic aspects - Latin America |
Econometrics |
Electronic books. |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Description based upon print version of record. |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Contents; I. Introduction; II. Benchmark Model; A. Background; B. The Specification of the Model; B.1 Observable variables and data definitions; B.2 Stochastic processes and model definitions; B.3 Behavioral equations; B.4 Cross correlations of disturbances; III. Extending the Model to Include Financial-Real Linkages; A. Background; B. Model Specification Incorporating the US Bank Lending Tightening Variable; IV. Confronting the Model with the Data; A. Bayesian Estimation; B. Results; B.1 Estimates of output gap; B.2 Estimates of coefficients |
B.3 Estimates of standard deviation of structural shocks and cross correlationsB.4 RMSEs; B.5 Impulse response functions; B.6 Historical variance decomposition; V. Concluding Remarks; References; Appendix Tables; 1. GPM Data Definitions; 2. Trade Matrix (Average 2001-2007, in percent); Figures; 1. Output Gap in LA5; Text Tables; 1. Results from Posterior Maximization; 2. Estimated Parameters in the Output Gap Equation; 3. Estimated Parameters in the Inflation Equation; 4. Estimated Parameters in the Monetary Policy Rule |
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2. Results from Posterior Parameters (Standard Deviation of Structural Shocks)3. Results from Posterior Parameters (Correlation of Structural Shocks); 4. Root Mean Squared Errors; 5. Domestic Demand Shock; 6. Domestic Price Shock; 7. Demand Shock in the US; 8. BLT Shock in the US; 9. Historical Decomposition of Inflation 2004-08 |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we add Latin American economies to a previously estimated small quarterly projection model of the US, Euro Area, and Japanese economies. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques, which provide a very efficient way of imposing restrictions to produce both plausible dynamics and sensib |
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2. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA9910786022303321 |
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Autore |
Hughes Bryn <1948-> |
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Titolo |
Forging new conventional wisdom beyond international policing [[electronic resource] ] : learning from complex, political realities / / by Bryn Hughes, Charles T. Hunt, and Jodie Curth-Bibb |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Boston, : Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, 2013 |
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ISBN |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (332 p.) |
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Altri autori (Persone) |
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HuntCharles T |
Curth-BibbJodie |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Police - International cooperation |
Law enforcement - International cooperation |
Crime prevention - International cooperation |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references and index. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Acknowledgements -- Introduction -- Setting the context -- The global context : the historical evolution of police in peace operations -- Monitoring and evaluation and performance reporting -- Recasting key |
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ontological and epistemological aspects -- Reshaping the substance of international contributions-beyond rethinking the "state of the state" -- The rule of law in peace and capacity building operations : appreciating more than the state -- The case for peace operations to engage the "political" diversity -- Pushing back on conventional monitoring and evaluation -- An unconventional approach to monitoring and evaluation -- Applying systems thinking to M&E : learning in spite of "uncertainty" -- Becoming emotional about assessment -- Evidence from the field for an unconventional wisdom -- The Marshall Islands microcosm : showing the need for a "political" lens -- Hybridity and police capacity development in the Solomon Islands -- The UN in Liberia : articulating the unarticulated consensus for change conclusions -- Appendix 1: Change theory -- Compendium. |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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Forging New Conventional Wisdom Beyond International Policing: Learning from Complex Political Realities provides an innovative perspective in the field by conceptualizing international policing as part of a much broader system of peace and capacity development initiatives. After establishing the global context and historical evolution of police in peace operations, authors Bryn Hughes, Charles T. Hunt, and Jodie Curth-Bibb proceed to recast key ontological and epistemological aspects. Examinations of the Rule of Law and Monitoring and Evaluation in peace and capacity building establish a solid foundation upon which the authors offer a convincing argument for a new, post-Weberian approach. In Forging New Conventional Wisdom Beyond International Policing: Learning from Complex, Political Realities , researchers, practitioners and policy-makers will find a critical addition to the current discourse on international policing. |
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