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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910784961603321 |
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Titolo |
Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting [[electronic resource] /] / edited by James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Chicago, : University of Chicago Press, c1993 |
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ISBN |
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1-281-43112-5 |
9786611431129 |
0-226-77474-0 |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (350 p.) |
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Collana |
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Studies in business cycles ; ; v. 28 |
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Altri autori (Persone) |
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StockJames H |
WatsonMark W |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Economic forecasting |
Economic indicators |
Business cycles |
Economic forecasting - United States |
Economic indicators - United States |
Business cycles - United States |
United States Economic conditions Congresses |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Description based upon print version of record. |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references and indexes. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Front matter -- Relation of the Directors to the Work and Publications of the National Bureau of Economic Research -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Introduction -- 1. Twenty-two Years of the NBERASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance -- 2. A Procedure for Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience -- 3. Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation -- 4. A Nine-Variable Probabilistic Macroeconomic Forecasting Model -- 5. Why Does the Paper-Bill Spread Predict Real Economic Activity? -- 6. Further Evidence on Business- Cycle Duration Dependence -- 7. A Dynamic Index Model for Large Cross Sections -- 8. Modeling Nonlinearity over the Business Cycle -- Contributors -- Author Index -- Subject Index |
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