Kondratieff waves, warfare and world security [[electronic resource] /] / edited by Tessaleno C. Devezas

• Record Nr.: UNINA9910784248003321
• Pubbl/distr/stampa: Amsterdam, : IOS Press, 2006; Lancaster, : Gazelle Books, distributor, 2006
• ISBN: 1-280-50522-2; 9786610505227; 1-4237-9738-8; 1-60750-160-0; 600-00-0470-2; 1-60129-139-6
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (352 p.)
• Altri autori (Persone): DevezasTessaleno C
• Disciplina: 338.54
• Soggetti: Long waves (Economics); Military art and science
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references and index.
• Nota di contenuto: Long Waves and Warfare: An Enduring Controversy -- Contents-- Part 1. Kondratieff Waves Revisited: New Concepts on the Interpretation of Long-Term Fluctuations in Economic Growth-- The Kondratieff's Waves and Cyclic Dynamics of the Economy and Wars: Theory and Prospects-- Toward New Conceptual Models of the Kondratiev Phenomenon-- Recurrent Instabilities in K-Wave Macrohistory-- A Marxian Model of the U.S. Long Waves with Endogenous Growth of Labor Force-- Economic Cycles Under Test: A Spectral Analysis -- Are There Long-Term Cycles in the Evolution of the Oil Price? A Research Using the Hodrick-Prescott Filter Did the Fifth K-Wave Begin in 1990-92? Has It Been Aborted by Globalization?-- The Cyclic Dynamics of the Venture Capital-- If This Long Wave Steeps-Up and Breaks: What Then?-- Empirical Evidence and Causation of Kondratieff Cycles-- Principles of Self-Organization and Sustainable Development of the World Economy: From Local Conflicts to Global Security-- Waves of Socio-Economic Development: An Evolutionary Perspective-- Who Was Right? Kuznets in ; 1930 or Schumpeter in 1939? -- On Kondratieff's "Suzdal Letters" and Transformation of K-Cycles Approach (1932-1938)--Part 2. Kondratieff Waves and Warfare-- The Predictive Power of Long Wave Theory, 1989-2004-- Did World War II Reset the 'Rhythm' of the Kondratieff Wave?-- Long Waves in Global Warfare and Maritime Hegemony? A Complex Systems Perspective-- Wars on the Borders of Europe and Socio-Economic Long Cycles-- Is History Automatic and Are Wars a la Carte? The Perplexing Suggestions of a System Analysis of Historical Time Series-- Long Cycles, Global Wars and World Energy Consumption-- Emergent Violence, Global Wars, and Terrorism -- Human Behaviors Encountered During the Different Phases of the Kondratieff Cycle -- The Extent of the Kondratieff Wave's Effect on Violence in the North-South Context-- Globalization and Risks of Instability-- Cycles of Political Violence: Urban Guerrilla and Insurgent Groups-- Reverse Engineering Asymmetric Warfare: Applying Space-Time, Matter-Energy and Organizational-Doctrinal Analysis to Al Qaeda Operations-- The Asymmetrical 21st Century Security Reality-- The Emergence of Modern Terrorism-- Part 3. Looking into the Future -- The Russian Potential of Asymmetrical Wars of the 21st Century: Social-Economic Aspect The Information and Molecular Ages: Will K-Waves Persist?-- Warfare and International Security: Future Perspective-- Economic Cycles in a Closed Finite World-- Innovation Economy: Challenges and Threats to Russia-- Global Political Evolution, Long Cycles, and K-Waves-- The Social Progress and Security Problems-- Alternative Futures for K-Waves-- Risk Management in Uncertain Times-- Cyclicity of Strategic Challenges in Russian History and Development Scenario for the 21st Century-- Author Index
• Sommario/riassunto: Considerable progress has been made in understanding the underlying mechanisms driving the long-wave behaviour of the world socioeconomic development. A controversial mechanism discussed is the close relationship between K-waves and the outbreak of majors wars.