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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910779591303321 |
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Autore |
Ahuja Ashvin |
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Titolo |
Investment-Led Growth in China : : Global Spillovers / / Ashvin Ahuja, Malhar Nabar |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 |
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ISBN |
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1-4755-2800-0 |
1-4755-1505-7 |
1-283-94763-3 |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (25 p.) |
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Collana |
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IMF Working Papers |
IMF working paper ; ; WP/12/267 |
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Altri autori (Persone) |
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Soggetti |
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Investments - China |
Economic development - China |
Investments: Commodities |
Exports and Imports |
Industries: General |
Industries: Manufacturing |
Investment |
Capital |
Intangible Capital |
Capacity |
Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts |
Comparative Studies of Countries |
Trade: General |
Industry Studies: Manufacturing: General |
Macroeconomics: Production |
Commodity Markets |
International economics |
Manufacturing industries |
Investment & securities |
Exports |
Imports |
Manufacturing |
Industrial production |
Commodities |
International trade |
Economic sectors |
Production |
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Industries |
Commercial products |
China, People's Republic of |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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At head of title: Asia and Pacific Department -- verso of t.p. |
"November 2012" -- verso of t.p. |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Cover; Contents; I. A Growth Model Increasingly Dependent on Investment; II. Assessing Exposures to Investment-Led Growth in China; III. Effects of An Investment Slowdown in China; IV. Implications of a Hand-off to Consumption; V. Effects of an Investment Slowdown on G20 Macro Indicators; VI. Summary; References; Appendix A; Appendix B |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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Over the past decade, China’s growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports has widened substantially. Several economies within China’s supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers from an investment slowdown in China. It finds that a one percentage point slowdown in investment in China is associated with a reduction of global growth of just under one-tenth of a percentage point. The impact is about five times larger than in 2002. Regional supply chain economies and commodity exporters with relatively less diversified economies are most vulnerable to an investment slowdown in China. The spillover effects also register strongly across a range of macroeconomic, trade, and financial variables among G20 trading partners. |
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