1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910778772903321

Titolo

Colloquium on earthquake prediction [[electronic resource] ] : the scientific challenge / / Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C., : National Academies Press, 1997

ISBN

1-280-18704-2

9786610187041

0-309-58856-1

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (126 p.)

Soggetti

Seismology

Volcanism

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di contenuto

""PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA""; ""Contents""; ""Earthquake prediction: The scientific challenge""; ""Earthquake prediction: The interaction of public policy and science""; ""CLASSIFICATIONS""; ""LONG-TERM PHENOMENA""; ""INTERMEDIATE-TERM PHENOMENA""; ""SHORT-TERM PHENOMENA""; ""DISCUSSION""; ""CONCLUSIONS""; ""Initiation process of earthquakes and its implications for seismic hazard reduction strategy""; ""SHORT-TERM STRAIN PRECURSORS""; ""VARIATIONS IN SLIP BEHAVIOR""; ""TRIGGERING""; ""A STRATEGY FOR SEISMIC HAZARD MITIGATION""

""Intermediate- and long-term earthquake prediction""""EARTHQUAKES IN THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA""; ""LARGE EVENTS AS A QUASI-PERIODIC PROCESS""; ""RECENT BUILDUP OF ACTIVITY IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA""; ""DISCUSSION AND SUMMARY""; ""Scale dependence in earthquake phenomena and its relevance to earthquake prediction""; ""THREE-DIMENSIONAL STRUCTURE OF THE 1992 LANDERS EARTHQUAKE FAULT ZONE""; ""SEISMIC CODA WAVES""; ""INTRODUCING CODA Q (OR CODA Qâ??1)""; ""PHYSICAL MEANING OF CODA Qâ??1""; ""GEOGRAPHIC VARIATION IN CODA Q""; ""TEMPORAL CHANGE IN CODA Q""; ""DISCUSSION""

""Intermediate-term earthquake prediction""""FOUR PARADIGMS"";



""PREDICTION ALGORITHMS""; ""ALGORITHM M8""; ""ALGORITHM CN""; ""ALGORITHM MENDOCINO SCENARIO""; ""PREDICTION OF THE NEXT STRONG EARTHQUAKE (34�37)""; ""SINGLE PREMONITORY SEISMICITY PATTERNS""; ""DISCUSSION""; ""A selective phenomenology of the seismicity of Southern California""; ""THE MAGNITUDE-FREQUENCY LAW""; ""LARGE EARTHQUAKES""; ""SPATIAL FLUCTUATIONS""; ""SMALL EARTHQUAKES: “THE G-R OR CHARACTERISTIC EARTHQUAKE DISTRIBUTION, WHICH IS IT?�""; ""SPACE-TIME FLUCTUATIONS""

""STRESS FLUCTUATIONS AND THE FRACTURE PROCESS""""SUMMARY""; ""The repetition of large-earthquake ruptures""; ""EXAMPLES OF CHARACTERISTIC SLIP""; ""INTERACTION OF SLIP PATCHES""; ""EDGE EFFECTS, PATCH INTERACTION AND LEAKY PATCH BOUNDARIES""; ""HISTORY OF THE SOUTHERN SAN ANDREAS FAULT""; ""LARGE VARIATION IN AMOUNT OF CHARACTERISTIC SLIP""; ""DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS""; ""Hypothesis testing and earthquake prediction""; ""SINGLE PREDICTION""; ""MULTIPLE PREDICTIONS""; ""PROBABILISTIC PREDICTION""; ""PREDICTIONS BASED ON RATE-DENSITY MAPS""; ""DISCUSSION""

""What electrical measurements can say about changes in fault systems""""LOMA PRIETA""; ""PALMDALE""; ""Geochemical challenge to earthquake prediction""; ""Implications of fault constitutive properties for earthquake prediction""; ""RATE- AND STATE-DEPENDENT FRICTION""; ""RELATIONSHIP TO OTHER CONSTITUTIVE CHARACTERIZATIONS""; ""UNSTABLE FAULT SLIP""; ""EARTHQUAKE NUCLEATION""; ""EFFECT OF STRESS CHANGES ON SEISMIC ACTIVITY""; ""FORESHOCKS""; ""DISCUSSION""; ""Nonuniformity of the constitutive law parameters for shear rupture and quasistatic nucleation to dynamic rupture: A physical�""

""CONSTITUTIVE LAW FOR SHEAR RUPTURE""