2.5 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 3: Forecasting Infrastructure Performance -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.2 Homogeneous Groups and Database Query -- 3.2.1 Sample 1, Homogeneous Groups (HGs) for a Road Pavement -- 3.2.2 Sample 2, HGs for Pipeline Networks -- 3.3 Projecting Condition and Decay of Physical Condition -- 3.3.1 No Time-Series Data -- 3.3.1.1 Using Empirical and Mechanistic Models -- 3.3.1.2 Borrowing a Deterioration Model -- 3.3.1.3 Useful Life Recommendations -- 3.3.1.4 Weibull Distribution -- 3.3.2 Two-Point Time-Series Data -- 3.3.2.1 Deterministic Model -- 3.3.2.2 Stochastic Model (Transition Probability Matrix) -- 3.3.3 Sufficient Time-Series Data -- 3.3.3.1 Regression -- 3.3.3.2 Artificial Intelligent -- 3.4 Safety and Congestion Performance Prediction -- 3.5 Performance Prediction for Demand Capacity -- 3.5.1 Water Systems -- 3.5.2 Transportation -- 3.6 Exercise -- References -- Chapter 4: Infrastructure Interventions -- 4.1 What Is the Effectiveness of the Interventions? -- 4.2 Estimating Effectiveness -- 4.2.1 Deterministic Methods -- 4.2.2 Stochastic Methods -- 4.3 Case Study 1: Segments from Routes 1 and 8 of New Brunswick -- 4.3.1 Deflection Basin Parameter (DBP)-Area -- 4.3.2 Modeling Deterioration of Area Deflection Basin Parameter: An Apparent Age Approach -- 4.3.3 Exploratory Analysis -- 4.3.4 Capturing Treatment Effectiveness -- 4.4 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 5: Decision Support Systems for IAM -- 5.1 Decision Levels: Strategic, Tactical, and Operational -- 5.2 Decision-Making Approaches: Ranking, Prioritization, Optimization -- 5.2.1 Ranking -- 5.2.1.1 Risk-Based Ranking -- Probability of Failure -- Consequence of Failure -- 5.2.2 Prioritization -- 5.2.2.1 Forecast Future Condition (Levels of Damage Indicator) -- 5.2.2.2 Treatment and Timing Options -- 5.2.2.3 Evaluate Strategy Effectiveness. |