1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910522956003321

Autore

Rescher Nicholas

Titolo

Risk Theory : Rational Decision in the Face of Chance, Uncertainty, and Risk / / by Nicholas Rescher

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2022

ISBN

3-030-78502-5

Edizione

[1st ed. 2022.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (83 pages)

Collana

SpringerBriefs in Philosophy, , 2211-4556

Disciplina

153.83

Soggetti

Logic

Mathematics - Philosophy

Financial risk management

Philosophy of Mathematics

Risk Management

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Nota di contenuto

1. Choice and Risk -- 2. Chance and Likelihood  -- 3. Outcome-Yield Evaluation and Risk -- 4. Abnormal Situations and Eccentric Measurements -- 5. Situational Evaluation and Expectation -- 6. Uncertainty -- 7. Risk Assessment -- 8. Comparing Chancy Situations via Risk and Promise -- 9. Managing Risk and Uncertainty -- 10. The Social Aspect of Risk -- Appendix 1. Pearl Harbor in the Light of Rational Decision -- Appendix 2. Lessons of the Prisoner’s Dilemma.

Sommario/riassunto

Apart from its foray into technical issues of risk assessment and management, this book has one principal aim. With situations of chancy outcomes certain key factors—including outcome possibilities, overall expectation, threat, and even luck—are measurable parameters. But risk is something different: it is not measurable a single parametric quantity, but a many-sided factor that has several different components, and constitutes a complex phenomenon that must be assessed judgmentally in a highly contextualized way. This book explains and analyzes how this works out in practice. Topics in this work include choice and risk, chance and likelihood, as well as outcome-yield evaluation and risk. It takes into account abnormal



situations and eccentric measurements, situational evaluation and expectation and scrutinizes the social aspect of risk. The book is of interest to logicians, philosophers of mathematics, and researchers of risk assessment. The project is a companion piece to the author's LUCK THEORY, also published by Springer.