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1. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA9910464919103321 |
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Titolo |
Economic and business forecasting : analyzing and interpreting econometric results / / John Silvia [and four others] |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , 2014 |
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©2014 |
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ISBN |
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1-118-56954-7 |
1-118-56980-6 |
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Edizione |
[1st edition] |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (402 p.) |
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Collana |
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Wiley & SAS Business Series |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Economic forecasting |
Business forecasting |
Decision making |
Econometrics |
Electronic books. |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references and index. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Economic and Business Forecasting: Analyzing and Interpreting Econometric Results; Copyright; Contents; Preface; Acknowledgments; Chapter 1: Creating Harmony Out of Noisy Data; Effective Decision Making: Characterize the Data; Part IA: Identifying Trend in a Time Series: GDP and Public Deficits; Part IB: Identifying the Cycle for a Time Series; Part IC: Identifying the Subcycles of Economic Behavior: Use of the HP Filter; Part ID: Spotting Structural Breaks in a Time Series; Part IE: Unit Root Tests; Part IF: Modeling the Cycle; Part IG: Cointegration and Error Correction Model |
Part IH: Causality-What Drives What?Part II: Measuring Volatility: ARCH/GARCH; Part IIA: Forecasting with a Regression Model; Part IIB: Forecasting Recession/Regime Switch as Either/or Outcomes; Part IIC: Forecasting with Vector Autoregression; Part IID: Forecast Evaluation; Chapter 2: First, Understand the Data; Growth: How is the Economy Doing Overall?; Personal Consumption; Gross Private Domestic Investment; Government Purchases; Net Exports of Goods and Services; Real Final Sales and Gross Domestic Purchases; The Labor Market: |
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Always a Core Issue; Establishment Survey |
Data Revision: A Special ConsiderationThe Household Survey; Marrying the Labor Market Indicators Together; Jobless Claims; Inflation; Consumer Price Index: A Society's Inflation Benchmark; Producer Price Index; Personal Consumption Expenditure Deflator: The Inflation Benchmark for Monetary Policy; Interest Rates: Price of Credit; The Dollar and Exchange Rates: The United States in a Global Economy; Corporate Profits; Summary; Chapter 3: Financial Ratios; Profitability Ratios; Return on Equity; Return on Assets; Corporate Profits as a Percentage of GDP; Liquidity Ratios; Leverage Ratios |
Investment Valuation RatioSummary; Chapter 4: Characterizing a Time Series; Why Characterize a Time Series?; How to Characterize a Time Series; Putting Simple Statistical Measures to Work; Identifying a Time Trend in a Series; Identifying the Cycle in a Time Series; Testing for a Unit Root; Structural Change: A New Normal?; Separating Cycle and Trend in a Time Series: The Hodrick-Prescott Filter; Application: Judging Economic Volatility; Look at the Data; Putting Simple Statistical Measures to Work; Corporate Profits; Focus on the Labor Market Using Monthly Data |
Financial Market Volatility: Assessing RiskSummary; Chapter 5: Characterizing a Relationship between Time Series; Important Test Statistics in Identifying Statistically Significant Relationships; Level of Significance and p-value; The t-Value or t-Test; The F-Test; R2 and Adjusted R2; White Noise/Autocorrelation Detection Tests; Model Selection Criteria: The AIC and SIC; Simple Econometric Techniques to Determine a Statistical Relationship; Correlation Analysis; Regression Analysis; Advanced Econometric Techniques to Determine a Statistical Relationship; Cointegration Analysis |
The Error Correction Model |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software |
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2. |
Record Nr. |
UNISA996390042703316 |
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Autore |
Martindale Adam <1623-1686.> |
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Titolo |
The countrey-survey-book: or, Land-meters vade-mecum [[electronic resource] ] : Wherein the principles and practical rules for surveying of land, are so plainly (though briefly) delivered, that any one of ordinary parts (understanding how to add, substract, multiply and divide,) may by the help of this small treatise alone and a few cheap instruments easy to be procured, measure a parcel of land, and with judgment and expedition plot it, and give up the content thereof. With an appendix, containing twelve problems touching compound interest and annuities; and a method to contract the work of fellowship and alligation alternate, very considerable in many cases. Illustrated with copper plates. By Adam Martindale, a friend to mathematical learning |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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London, : printed by A.G. and J.P. for R. Clavel, at the Peacock in St. Pauls Church-yard, 1682 |
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Descrizione fisica |
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Soggetti |
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Surveying |
Interest |
Mathematics |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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"An appendix containing XII. problems touching compound interest & annuities" has separate title page with imprint: London, printed in the year M. DC. LXXX. Register and pagination are continuous. |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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3. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA9910781090503321 |
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Autore |
Whorton James C |
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Titolo |
The arsenic century [[electronic resource] ] : how victorian Britain was poisoned at home, work, and play / / Prof James C. Whorton |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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New York, NY, : Oxford University Press, 2010 |
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ISBN |
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1-282-38365-5 |
9786612383656 |
0-19-157344-2 |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (xxi, 412 pages) : illustrations |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Arsenic |
Great Britain History Victoria, 1837-1901 |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Description based upon print version of record. |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references (pages [365]-403 and index. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Contents; List of Illustrations; 1. 'Such an Instrument of Death and Agony'; 2. 'A New Race of Poisoners'; 3. A New Breed of Detectives; 4. 'The Chief Terror of Poisoners'; 5. A Penn'orth of Poison; 6. 'Sugared Death'; 7. 'The Hue of Death, the Tint of the Grave'; 8. Walls of Death; 9. Physician-Assisted Poisoning; 10. 'A Very Wholesome Poison'; 11. Poison in the Factory and on the Farm; 12. 'Dangers that Lie Wait in the Pint-Pot'; Abbreviations; Notes; Index |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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Arsenic is rightly infamous as the poison of choice for Victorian murderers. Yet the great majority of fatalities from arsenic in the nineteenth century came not from intentional poisoning, but from accident. Kept in many homes for the purpose of poisoning rats, the white powder was easily mistaken for sugar or flour and often incorporated into the family dinner. It was also widely present in green dyes, used to tint everything from candles and candies to curtains, wallpaper, and clothing (it was arsenic in old lace that was the danger). Whether at home amidst arsenical curtains and wallpapers |
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