1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910464577003321

Autore

Timmermann Allan

Titolo

An evaluation of the world economic outlook forecasts [[electronic resource] /] / Allan Timmermann

Pubbl/distr/stampa

[Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, Research Dept., 2006

ISBN

1-4623-9421-3

1-4527-1887-3

1-283-51486-9

1-4519-0855-5

9786613827319

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (108 p.)

Collana

IMF working paper ; ; WP/06/59

Soggetti

Economic development

Economic forecasting - Evaluation

International economic relations

Electronic books.

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"March 2006."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY""; ""II. DESCRIPTION OF WEO DATASET""; ""III. PROPERTIES OF OPTIMAL FORECASTS""; ""IV. EMPIRICAL RESULTS""; ""V. ANALYSIS OF STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE""; ""VI. CAN THE WEO FORECAST ERRORS BE PREDICTED?""; ""VII. DIRECTIONAL ACCURACY""; ""VIII. REVISIONS FROM BOARD TO PUBLISHED FORECASTS""; ""IX. RECENT PERFORMANCE OF WEO FORECASTS""; ""X. LONG-RUN FORECASTING PERFORMANCE FOR G-7 ECONOMIES""; ""XI. COMPARISON OF WEO AND CONSENSUS FORECASTS""; ""XII. FORECAST COMBINATIONS""; ""XIII. RECOMMENDATIONS""; ""XIV. CONCLUSION""; ""References""