1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910463881403321

Autore

Vitek Francis

Titolo

Policy and spillover analysis in the world economy : a panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach / / Francis Vitek

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, District of Columbia : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2014

©2014

ISBN

1-4755-9287-6

1-4983-8115-4

1-4843-6250-0

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (96 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Paper ; ; WP14/200

Disciplina

332.820971

Soggetti

Capital movements - Econometric models

Monetary policy - Econometric models

Fiscal policy - Econometric models

Business cycles - Econometric models

Electronic books.

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Theoretical Framework; A. The Household Sector; Consumption and Saving; Labor Supply; B. The Production Sector; Output Demand; Labor Demand and Investment; Output Supply; C. The Trade Sector; The Export Sector; The Import Sector; D. Monetary and Fiscal Policy; The Monetary Authority; The Fiscal Authority; E. Market Clearing Conditions; III. The Empirical Framework; A. Endogenous Variables; B. Exogenous Variables; IV. Estimation; A. Estimation Procedure; Cyclical Components; Parameters; B. Estimation Results; Cyclical Components; Parameters

V. Monetary and Fiscal Policy AnalysisA. Impulse Response Functions; B. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions; C. Historical Decompositions; VI. Spillover Analysis; A. Simulated Conditional Betas; B. Impulse Response Functions; VII. Forecasting; VIII. Conclusion; Appendix A. Description of the Data Set; Appendix B. Tables and Figures; Table 1. Structural Parameter Estimation Results; Figure 1. Impulse Responses to



a Domestic Productivity Shock; Figure 2. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Labor Supply Shock; Figure 3. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Consumption Demand Shock

Figure 4. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Investment Demand ShockFigure 5. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Monetary Policy Shock; Figure 6. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Credit Risk Premium Shock; Figure 7. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Duration Risk Premium Shock; Figure 8. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Equity Risk Premium Shock; Figure 9. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Fiscal Expenditure Shock; Figure 10. Impulse Responses to a Domestic Fiscal Revenue Shock; Figure 11. Impulse Responses to a World Energy Commodity Price Markup Shock

Figure 12. Impulse Responses to a World Nonenergy Commodity Price Markup ShockFigure 13. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of Consumption Price Inflation; Figure 14. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of Output; Figure 15. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of Private Consumption; Figure 16. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of Private Investment; Figure 17. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of the Nominal Policy Interest Rate; Figure 18. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of the Real Effective Exchange Rate

Figure 19. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of the Unemployment RateFigure 20. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of the Fiscal Balance Ratio; Figure 21. Forecast Error Variance Decompositions of the Current Account Balance Ratio; Figure 22. Historical Decompositions of Consumption Price Inflation; Figure 23. Historical Decompositions of Output Growth; Figure 24. Historical Decompositions of the Unemployment Rate; Figure 25. Simulated Conditional Betas of Output; Figure 26. Peak Impulse Responses to Foreign Productivity Shocks

Figure 27. Peak Impulse Responses to Foreign Labor Supply Shocks

Sommario/riassunto

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover transmission channels. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated. These include quantifying the monetary and fiscal transmission mechanisms, accounting for business cycle fluctuations, and generating relat