1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910463675803321

Autore

Lledo Victor

Titolo

Cyclical patterns of government expenditures in Sub-Saharan Africa [[electronic resource] ] : facts and factors / / Victor LledoĢ, Irene Yackovlev and Lucie Gadenne

Pubbl/distr/stampa

[Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, African Department, c2009

ISBN

1-4623-3658-2

1-282-84461-X

1-4518-7419-7

1-4527-6922-2

9786612844614

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (53 p.)

Collana

IMF working paper ; ; WP/09/274

Altri autori (Persone)

YackovlevIrene

GadenneLucie

Soggetti

Fiscal policy - Africa, Sub-Saharan

Finance, Public - Africa, Sub-Saharan

Electronic books.

Africa, Sub-Saharan Economic policy

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"November 2009."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; 1. Evolution of the fiscal balance in sub-Saharan Africa, current and past cycles; 1. Number of sub-Saharan African countries satisfying various macroeconomic performance and institutional quality criterial by decade; II. Literature Review; III. Empirical Strategy; A. Empirical Model and Identification; B. Data, Measurement, and Specification; IV. Results; A. Key Facts; 2. Cyclical properties of government spending, 1970-2008; 3. Robustness checks, system-GMM estimates and additional controls

4. Cyclical properties of government spending by decade B. Factors; 5. Political factors, impact on procyclicality, 1970-2008; 6. Financing constraints, impact on procyclicality, 1970-2008; 7. Macroeconomic stability and fiscal space, impact on procyclicality, 1970-2008; 8. How



can we explain the evolution of procyclicality over time in sub-Saharan Africa?; V. Conclusions and Policy Implications; Appendix; References; Footnotes

Sommario/riassunto

This paper documents cyclical patterns of government expenditures in sub-Saharan Africa since 1970 and explains variation between countries and over time. Controlling for endogeneity, it finds government expenditures to be slightly more procyclical in sub-Saharan Africa than in other developing countries and some evidence that procyclicality in Africa has declined in recent years after a period of sharp increase through the 1990's. Greater fiscal space, proxied by lower external debt, and better access to concessional financing, proxied by larger aid flows, seem to be important factors