1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910463623603321

Autore

Carrier David J.

Titolo

Industrial restructuring, financial instability, and the dynamics of the postwar U.S. economy / / David J. Carrier

Pubbl/distr/stampa

London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015

ISBN

1-138-86070-0

1-315-71636-4

1-317-50677-4

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (242 p.)

Collana

Routledge Library Editions: Business Cycles ; ; Volume 1

Disciplina

330.973092

Soggetti

Business cycles - United States - Econometric models

Gross domestic product - United States - Econometric models

Electronic books.

United States Economic conditions 1945- Econometric models

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

First published in 1997.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Half Title; Title Page; Copyright Page; Original Title Page; Original Copyright Page; Dedication; Table of Contents; Tables; Figures; Preface; Introduction; Acknowledgments; I. What Did Economists Learn from the Great Depression?; Wesley Clair Mitchell; Geoffrey Moore; Jan Tinbergen; Robert A. Gordon; Victor Zarnowitz; Howard Sherman; II. How Chaos Killed the Auctioneer; Macroeconomic chaos; Theoretical implications of chaos; Chaos and the future of modeling; III. Macroeconomic Effects of Industrial Restructuring; Methodology and source data; Returns to factors of production

Intermediate and final demandProductivity and unit labor costs; Returns to capital; Employment and earnings; Conclusions; IV. Consumption Patterns and the Multiplier; Consumer credit and the propensity to consume; Consumption multipliers by income type; Consumption multipliers by industry; V. Finance, Investment, and the Business Cycle; Data and measurement; Mainstream investment theory; Financial institutions; Firms; The Federal Reserve; Endogenous money and credit; Minsky's investment theory; VI. An Empirical Model of Investment and Finance; Linear vs. nonlinear estimation



The model and explanatory variablesInvestment model specification; Linear estimates; Nonlinear estimates; VII. A Multiplier-Accelerator Simulation Model; Derivation of stability conditions; Historical stability conditions; Simulations of factors affecting stability; Conclusions; Appendix; I. Data sources and compatibility; II. The input-output transactions table; III. Aggregation of input-output industries; IV. Data values for figures 2.1-2.12; Bibliography; Index

Sommario/riassunto

This volume, originally published in 1997, examines the combined effect of financial instability and industrial restructuring on postwar economic growth and recession in the US. It sheds light on the fundamental question of whether or not these trends are positive for the economy as a whole. To explain the cyclical nature of investment and finance, institutional theory regarding financial instability is examined in depth and related to Minsky's analysis of investment behaviour. The author has created an empirical model of this behaviour which, he claims, accurately predicts historical consumpt