Real effects of the subprime mortgage crisis : is it a demand or finance shock? / / Hui Tong and Shang-Jin Wei

• Record Nr.: UNINA9910463622203321
• Autore: Tong Hui
• Pubbl/distr/stampa: [Washington, District of Columbia] : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008; ©2008
• ISBN: 1-4623-3258-7; 1-4527-6219-8; 9786612841378; 1-4518-7044-2; 1-282-84137-8
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (39 p.)
• Collana: IMF Working Papers; IMF working paper ; ; WP/08/186
• Altri autori (Persone): WeiShang-Jin
• Disciplina: 338.542
• Soggetti: Financial crises - Economic aspects; Liquidity (Economics); Subprime mortgage loans - Economic aspects - United States; Electronic books.
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references.
• Nota di contenuto: Contents; I. Introduction; II. Specification and Key Variables; A. Basic Specification; B. Key Data; III. Empirical Analysis; A. Basic Results; B. Evolving Roles of Liquidity Constraint and Demand Contractions; C. Alternative Measure of Financial Dependence; D. Placebo Tests; E. Exposures to Exchange Rate and Commodity Price Movement; F. Additional Robustness Checks and Extensions; IV. Conclusion; References; Tables; 1a. Summary Statistics; 1b. Correlation Among Variables; 2. Change in Stock Price during the Subprime Crisis; 3. Alternative Measure of Financial Dependence; 4. Does Liquidity Constraint Explain Changes in Stock Prices During September 10-28, 2001?5. Placebo Tests: Stock Price Changes Before the Subprime Crises; 6. Adding Exposures to Exchange Rate and Commodity Price Movement; Figures; 1. The Log of Stock Index during ; Subprime Crisis; 2. News Count of "Subprime" and "Crisis"; 3. Consensus Forecast of U.S. Real GDP Growth; 4. Consumer Confidence around Sept. 11th and Subprime Crisis; 5. TED (Euro-dollar bond over Treasury Bond) spread around September 11th and Subprime Crisis; 6. Cumulative Stock Returns Since August 2007; 7. Key Regression Coefficients from Successively Expanding Samples
• Sommario/riassunto: We develop a methodology to study how the subprime crisis spills over to the real economy. Does it manifest itself primarily through reducing consumer demand or through tightening liquidity constraint on non-financial firms? Since most non-financial firms have much larger cash holding than before, they appear unlikely to face significant liquidity constraint. We propose a methodology to estimate these two channels of spillovers. We first propose an index of a firm's sensitivity to consumer demand, based on its response to the 9/11 shock in 2001. We then construct a separate firm-level index on