1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910463598103321

Autore

Calderón-Colín Roberto

Titolo

Consumer confusion : the choice of AFORE in Mexico / / Roberto Calderón-Colín, Enrique E. Domínguez, and Moisés J. Schwartz ; authorized for distribution by Ceyla Pazarbasioglu

Pubbl/distr/stampa

[Washington, District of Columbia] : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008

©2008

ISBN

1-4623-5680-X

1-4527-8237-7

9786612841286

1-282-84128-9

1-4518-7035-3

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (63 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

IMF working paper ; ; WP/08/177

Altri autori (Persone)

DomínguezEnrique E

SchwartzMoisés J

PazarbaşioğluCeyla

Disciplina

332.67254

Soggetti

Pension trusts - Mexico - Management - Econometric models

Competition - Mexico - Econometric models

Electronic books.

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Choice of AFORE in Mexico; A. Inelasticity of Demand and Switching among Fund Managers; Figures; 1. Switches; 2. Turnover Ratio for Mexico and Chile; Tables; 1. Regression Analysis 1; 2. Regression Analysis 2; 3. Switches In 2006; 4. Gain or Loss after Switching Workers' Estimated Balance at the Age of Retirement; 5. Gain or Loss after Switching Workers' Estimated Balance after a Five-Year Period; 6. Loss from not Switching to the to the "Optimal" AFORE Workers' Estimated Balance at the Age of Retirement

7. Loss from not Switching to the "Optimal" AFORE Workers' Estimated Balance after a Five-Year Period B. The Effectiveness of an Increase in Supply; 3. Gain/Loss in Balances for Hypothetical Cases of Workers that



began accruing; 4. Winners and Losers Due to Decreases in Fees; 5. Changes in Balances Due to Decreases in Fees; III. Consumer's "Confusion" and "Noise"; A. Theoretical Framework; B. Statistical Analysis of Possible "Noise" Distributions

8. "Noise Distribution" Percentage Loss in Pension Balances at Retirement Age Due to "Sub-Optimal" Choice of AFORE Fitted by the Normal and Weibull Distributions.9. "Noise Distribution" Percentage Loss in Pension Balances After A Five-year Period Due to "Sub-Optimal" Choice of AFORE Fitted By The Normal and Weibull Distributions; C. Mark-up Estimation in the AFORE Industry; 6. Mark-up According to the Number of AFOREs; IV. Empirical Study; A. Measurement of "Noise" and Consumer "Confusion"; B. Econometric Framework to Measure "Confusion's " Relative Importance; C. Empirical Results

V. Concluding Remarks Annexes; I. The Model; II. Questionnaires; References

Sommario/riassunto

This paper was prepared for the World Bank 4th Annual Contractual Savings Conference (Washington DC, April 2008) co-organized by Gregorio Impavido (gimpavido@imf.org). The article shows that account transfers among pension administrators in Mexico barely respond to price or return considerations and in general has not improved the consumer's pension balance. Instead of strengthening competition through lower fees and higher returns for the consumer, AFORE switching has so far undermined the system and resulted in the destruction of value. Moreover, ""noisy"" evaluations of the product by the