1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910463590503321

Autore

Swiston A (Andrew James)

Titolo

A U.S. financial conditions index : putting credit where credit is due / / Andrew Swiston ; authorized for distribution by Tamim Bayoumi

Pubbl/distr/stampa

[Washington, District of Columbia] : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008

©2008

ISBN

1-4623-4369-4

1-4527-2284-6

1-4518-7019-1

9786612841125

1-282-84112-2

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (37 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

IMF working paper ; ; WP/08/161

Altri autori (Persone)

BayoumiTamim A

Disciplina

354.2799273

Soggetti

Loans - United States - Econometric models

Credit - United States - Econometric models

Electronic books.

United States Economic conditions Econometric models

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction and Literature Review; II. Building a Better Financial Conditions Index; A. Why VAR and IRF?; B. Whose Lending? Which Standards?; Figures; 1. Lending Standards and GDP Growth; Tables; 1. Lending Standards and Real Activity: Correlations; 2. Lending Standards and Financial Variables: Correlations; 2. Response of GDP to Lending Standards; C. Which Other Variables Enter the Mix?; 3. Response of GDP to Risk-Free Interest Rates; 4. Response of GDP to Default Risk and Volatility; 5. Response of GDP to Asset Prices; 6. Lending Standards and the High Yield Spread

III. Financial Conditions and GrowthA. What are the Guts of the FCI?; B. Which Financial Conditions Matter?; 7. Response of GDP to Financial Shocks; 8. Response of Financial Conditions to Lending Standards; C. What Role for Credit Aggregates?; 9. Credit Availability and the Impact



of Monetary Policy on Growth; 10. Response of GDP to Credit Aggregates; D. What is the FCI's Contribution to Growth?; 3. Financial Conditions and Real Activity: Correlations and Variance Decompositions; 11. Financial Conditions Index; 12. Financial Shocks and Contributions to the FCI

E. Where Do Financial Conditions Hit Hardest?13. Individual Contributions to the FCI; 14. Response of Components of Demand to Financial Shocks; F. Can the FCI See Into the Future?; 15. Leading Financial Conditions Index; IV. Conclusions; References

Sommario/riassunto

This paper gauges the key determinants of China's private consumption in relation to GDP using data on the Chinese economy and evidence from other countries' experiences. The results suggest there is nothing ""special"" about consumption in China. Rather, the challenge is to explain why the conditioning variables-notably a low level of service sector employment, the level of financial sector development, and low real interest rates-are so different in China relative to other countries' historical experience. The results suggest, in particular, that efforts to further raise household income and