1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910463588103321

Autore

Flanagan Mark (Mark Joseph)

Titolo

Resolving a large contingent fiscal liability [[electronic resource] ] : Eastern European experiences / / prepared by Mark Flangan

Pubbl/distr/stampa

[Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, European Dept., c2008

ISBN

1-4623-6487-X

1-4527-2688-4

1-282-84110-6

9786612841101

1-4518-7017-5

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (42 p.)

Collana

IMF working paper ; ; WP/08/159

Soggetti

Debts, Public - Europe, Eastern

Fiscal policy - Europe, Eastern

Debts, Public - Ukraine

Fiscal policy - Ukraine

Electronic books.

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"June 2008."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; Tables; 1. Recent European Cases of Large Off-Balance Sheet Liabilities; II. Design of a Settlement: Economic Considerations; A. Fiscal sustainability; Boxes; 1. The sustainable level of primary surplus; Figures; 1. Primary Surplus in Successful Episodes of Debt Regularization; 2. Settlement Structures for Large Contingent Fiscal Liabilities; B. Macroeconomic stability; 3. Structure of the Serbian Debt Settlement; 2. The Global Monetary and Fiscal Model; 2. Up-front Debt Shock; 3. Sensitivity Tests; 4. Debt Shock with Counter-Cyclical Fiscal Policy

5. Spread-out Debt Shock6. Debt Shock with All Offsets; 4. Debt Settlement Timing and Macroeconomic Conjuncture; III. Design of a Settlement: Technical Considerations; A. Administration; 5. Settling Large Contingent Fiscal Claims: Issues Raised; B. The staging of a settlement; 7. Timing of Debt Restitution and Macroeconomic Factors;



C. The settlement technique; 3. Mutual Debt Settlements (Netting) in the CIS; D. The use of public assets in a settlement; IV. Application: Ukraine and the lost savings problem; 8. Ukraine: Distribution of Lost Savings Claims

9. Ukraine: Debt Shocks and Fiscal Sustainability10. Ukraine: Current Macroeconomic Situation; V. Conclusions; Appendix I. The GIMF Model Calibration; Appendix II. Ukraine: A Brief History of the Lost Savings; References

Sommario/riassunto

On occasion, a government may find itself confronted with a need to address a large contingent or off balance sheet fiscal liability. Implementing a settlement raises issues of fiscal sustainability and macroeconomic stability. This paper surveys the key design issues, and draws lessons from recent Eastern European experience. It then considers in more detail the particular case of Ukraine, and how it might approach its own large contingent liability-the so-called lost savings-which at end-2007 amounted to as much as 18 percent of GDP.