1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910462255003321

Autore

Arezki Rabah

Titolo

Commodity prices and exchange rate volatility [[electronic resource] ] : lessons from South Africa's capital account liberalization / / Rabah Arezki ... [et al.]

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C., : International Monetary Fund, c2012

ISBN

1-4755-5956-9

1-4755-6350-7

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (20 p.)

Collana

IMF working paper ; ; WP/12/168

Soggetti

Prices

Foreign exchange rates - South Africa

Electronic books.

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Literature; III. Empirical Strategy; A. Data; B. Time Series Properties and Econometric Techniques; IV. Main Results; V. Robustness; VI. Conclusion; References; Figures; Figure 1. Evolution of Gold Prices and South Africa Rand Real Exchange Rate; Figure 2. Volatility of Gold Prices and South Africa Rand Real Exchange Rate; Tables; Table 1 Johansen Cointegration Test Results on Pre-Capital Account Liberalization; Table 2 Johansen Cointegration Test Results on Post-Capital Account Liberalization

Table 3 Lagrange Multiplier Test for Residual AutocorelationTable 4 VECM Results for Pre-Capital Account Liberalization Sample; Table 5 Post-Capital Account Liberalization VECM Results; Table 6 Testing Weak Exogeneity

Sommario/riassunto

We examine the relationship between South African Rand and gold price volatility using monthly data for the period 1980-2010. Our main findings is that prior to capital account liberalization the causality runs from South African Rand to gold price volatility but the causality runs the other way around for the post-liberalization period. These findings suggest that gold price volatility plays a key role in explaining both the



excessive exchange rate volatility and current disproportionate share of speculative (short-run) inflows that South Africa has been coping with since the opening up of it