1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910460415503321

Autore

Campbell James E. <1952->

Titolo

The presidential pulse of congressional elections / / James E. Campbell

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Lexington, Kentucky : , : The University Press of Kentucky, , 1997

©1997

ISBN

0-8131-4903-7

Edizione

[Second edition.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (333 p.)

Disciplina

324.973

Soggetti

Elections - United States

Voting - United States

Political parties - United States

Presidents - United States

Electronic books.

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Title; Copyright; Contents; List of Tables and Figures; Acknowledgments; Introduction; Part 1. Theories of Midterm Elections; 1 The Midterm Question; 2 The Premises of Surge and Decline; 3 The Propositions and Evidence of Surge and Decline; 4 The Theory of the Midterm Referendum; Part 2. The Presidential Pulse; 5 The Revised Theory of Surge and Decline; 6 Evidence from National Elections; 7 Evidence in Congressional Districts; 8 Evidence in the Electorate; 9 Surge and Decline in Subpresidential Elections; 10 The Presidential Pulse in the 1990's; 11 Reflections on the Presidential Pulse

Appendix 1 Presidential Vote and House-Seat Regressions Appendix 2 Robust Regression of National Evidence; Notes; References; Index;

Sommario/riassunto

An intriguing phenomenon in American electoral politics is the loss of seats by the president's party in midterm congressional elections. Between 1862 and 1990, the president's party lost seats in the House of Representatives in 32 of the 33 midterm elections. In his new study, James Campbell examines explanations for these midterm losses and explores how presidential elections influence congressional elections. After reviewing the two major theories of midterm electoral change-the ""surge and decline"" theory and the theory of midterms as referenda



on presidential performance Campbell draws up