Coastal risk management in a changing climate / / edited by Barbara Zanuttigh [and four others]

• Record Nr.: UNINA9910459961503321
• Pubbl/distr/stampa: Kidlington, England : , : Butterworth-Heinemann, , 2015; ©2015
• ISBN: 0-12-397331-7
• Edizione: [1st edition]
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (671 p.)
• Disciplina: 333.91/7
• Soggetti: Coastal zone management; Coast changes - Risk assessment; Climatic changes - Risk assessment; Coastal engineering; Electronic books.
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Note generali: Includes index.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references and index.
• Nota di contenuto: FrontCover; Copyright; Acknowledgments; List of Contributors; 1.3 This Book; References; 2.5 Flood Damage; 2.6 The Social Context of Flooding at the Coast; 2.7 Coastal Habitats Within the Flood System; 2.8 The Physical Context of Flooding at the Coast; 2.10 Capturing Future Changes; 2.11 Conclusions; References; References; References; 6.2 Efficiency, Equity, and Sustainability of Mitigation Options; Acknowledgments; 7.2 - Mitigating Flood and Erosion Risk using Sediment Management for a Tourist City: Varna, Bulgaria; 7.2.3 Mitigation Measures; 7.2.4 Planning the Best Combination of Defense Strategies7.2.5 Overall Conclusions and Recommendations; Acknowledgments; 7.3 - Coastal Wetlands in the Yangtze Estuary, China; 7.3.1 Description of the Site; 7.3.2 Existing Management; 7.3.3 Coastal Wetlands in the Yangtze Estuary; 7.4.6 Strategic Management (in the Short, Mid, and Long Term); 7.4.7 Policy Implications and Overall Conclusions and Recommendations; 7.5 - Flood Hazard Mitigation in a Heavily Modified Estuary, the Elbe Estuary, Germany; 7.5.1 Description of the Site; 7.5.2 Physical Characteristics; 7.5.3 Historical Development of the Estuary7.5.4 The Flood System within the Elbe Estuary; 7.5.5 Flood Mapping for HafenCity; 7.5.6 Mitigation Measures; 7.5.7 Strategic Management; 7.5.8 Overall Conclusions and Recommendations; Acknowledgments; 7.6 - Risk Assessment and Mitigation in a Low-lying Coastal Area: Cesenatico, Northern Italy; 7.6.1 Characterization of the Site; 7.6.2 Risk Modeling; 7.6.3 Identification of Mitigation Options; 7.6.4 Preliminary Design of Mitigation Options; 7.6.5 Selection of the Portfolio of Mitigation Measures; 7.6.6 Impacts of the Portfolio of Mitigation Options; 7.6.7 Strategic Management and Policy Implications7.7 - Balancing Flood and Erosion Risk with Landscape Sustainability: Cancun, Mexico; 7.7.1 Description of the Site; 7.7.2 Characterization of the Flood System; 7.7.3 Application of the SPRC Model; 7.7.4 Risk Mitigation Measures; 7.7.5 Strategic Management; Acknowledgments; 7.8 - Flood and Erosion Management on a Dynamic Spit: the Hel Peninsula, Poland; 7.8.1 Description of the Site; 7.8.2 The Current Flood System; 7.8.3 Application of the SPRC Model; 7.8.4 Meteomarine Climate: Present Conditions and Long-Term Trends; 7.8.5 Flood Mapping; 7.8.6 Erosion Scenarios7.8.7 Mitigation Measures; 7.8.8 Overall Conclusions and Recommendations; 7.9 - Flooding and Erosion Risk Analysis in Santander Bay, Spain; 7.9.1 Description of the Site; 7.9.2 The Coastal System; 7.9.3 Flood and Erosion Risk Modeling; 7.9.4 Mitigation Measures; 7.9.5 Cost and Benefit Analysis for the Mitigation Measures; 7.9.6 Policy Implications; 7.9.7 Overall Conclusions and Recommendations; 7.10 - Teign Estuary, South Devon, UK: Stakeholder-Led Mitigation; 7.10.1 Description of the Site; 7.10.2 Settlements; 7.10.3 Habitats and Ecology; 7.10.4 Existing Flood Governance and Management
• Sommario/riassunto: Existing coastal management and defense approaches are not well suited to meet the challenges of climate change and related uncertanities. Professionals in this field need a more dynamic, systematic and multidisciplinary approach. Written by an international group of experts, Coastal Risk Management in a Changing Climate provides innovative, multidisciplinary best practices for mitigating the effects of climate change on coastal structures. Based on the Theseus program, the book includes eight study sites across Europe, with specific attention to the most vulnerable coastal environments such

Betting Against the Crowd : A Complex Systems Approach / / by Yair Neuman

• Record Nr.: UNINA9910838286203321
• Autore: Neuman Yair <1968->
• Pubbl/distr/stampa: Cham : , : Springer Nature Switzerland : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2024
• ISBN: 3-031-52019-X
• Edizione: [1st ed. 2024.]
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (172 pages)
• Disciplina: 302.35
• Soggetti: System theory; Statistical mechanics; Economics - Psychological aspects; Sports - Sociological aspects; Complex Systems; Statistical Mechanics; Behavioral Finance; Sport Sociology
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references and index.
• Nota di contenuto: Intro -- Preface -- Reference -- Summary -- Contents -- Part I Foundations of Crowd's Dynamics -- 1 Navigating the Collective: Insights into Crowd Behavior and Strategies for the Individual -- From the Painted Bird to the Celebrating Crowd -- The Importance of Interactions -- The Individual and the Collective -- Constraints and Opportunities -- The Importance of Learned Ignorance -- The Dancing Crowd -- Scientific Thinking in the Absence of Truth -- The Rebel's Perspective -- The Structure of the Book -- References -- 2 Signs of Collective Dynamics: Insights from the Stock Market Collapse -- Introduction -- Ponzi and the Pyramids -- How to Recognize Bad Omens -- Always Look for the Rats -- In Sum … -- References -- 3 Entropy, Constraints, and Action: Tools for Short-Term Prediction -- Introduction -- The Lady or the Tiger? -- How to Measure Uncertainty -- The Appropriate Dose of Chaos -- Understanding Constraints -- On the Cognitive Importance of D = 3 -- How a Navy SEAL Uses the Fluctuation Theorem -- In the Midst of Chaos, There Is Opportunity ; -- Windows of Opportunity: Pockets of Order and Chaos -- References -- 4 Information Thresholds: Navigating Predictive Boundaries -- How Much Information Is Enough? -- Time to Clearance -- The Exponential Decay of Information -- So, How Much Information Do We Need? -- Out of Plato's Cave -- References -- 5 Short-Term Fluctuations Versus Long-Range Trends: Unearthing Investment Opportunities -- Introduction -- Buy-Low-Sell-High (BLSH) -- Betting Against the Crowd -- What Is Your Expected Value? -- The Kelly Criterion -- Playing with Kelly -- So, Have We Won? -- Simple Models in a Complex World -- Lessons to Be Learned About Betting Against the Crowd -- References -- Part II Case Studies: Political Nationalism, Football, Financial Markets and Armed Conflicts.; 6 Non-linearity in the Emergence of Political Nationalism: A Lesson from Hungary -- Introduction -- Measuring the Expected and the Observed Levels of Nationalism -- Entropy, Variability, and Non-linearity -- Additivity and Extensivity -- Measuring the Entropy of Political Parties -- What if the Whole Is Different from the Sum of Its Parts? -- References -- 7 Fixed Beliefs and Football Fandom: Unraveling the Dynamics of Collective Optimism -- Introduction -- Optimism and Pessimism in Football -- Cinderella Teams and Hermes' Invisible Hand -- Lady Fortuna's Invisible Hand -- Hermes' Invisible Hand -- "Knowledge Is Safety" -- References -- 8 Contrarian Strategies: Capitalizing on the Limits of Exponential Growth in Financial Markets -- Introduction -- Identifying a Significant Exponential Growth -- Leaving the Ship in Good Time -- Signs of Reversal -- The Experiment -- Betting Against the Herd -- References -- 9 Unraveling the Complexities of Chronic Armed Conflicts: Patterns, Predictability, and Uncertainties -- Can We Learn from the Past? And How Much? -- The Long Memory of a Conflict -- Order Is Never Enough -- Tsallis Entropy, Again -- Discretizing the Dataset -- Predicting the Class of Fatalities -- Predicting Surprise -- Crowds, Conflicts, and Lady Fortuna -- References -- 10 Mentsh Trakht un Got Lakht: Final Lessons in Individuality and Collective Dynamics -- A Final Word -- Reference -- Author Index -- Subject Index.
• Sommario/riassunto: Crowds are misleading, both in their simplicity and in their complexity. On the one hand, they behave according to expected trends; on the other, they present sudden shifts and frantic, unexpected behavior. Therefore, “betting against the crowd,” whether in politics, sports, or finance, requires a deep understanding of the crowd’s dynamics. In this book, Prof. Neuman addresses this challenge by delving into the complexity of crowds. The book involves foundational issues and novel ideas, such as why crowds behave unexpectedly, why betting against the crowd is possible only in short time frames, why is it important to be attentive to suspicious signs that are indicative of the crowd’s behavior, and why the long tail of fatalities in armed conflicts leaves us surprised by blitz attacks of violent mobs. The book combines scientific knowledge, experiments, and accessible, often humorous, exposition. It can be read by anyone with a basic science education who seeks to understand crowds and how one can act within and against them.