1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910457872903321

Autore

Jeffrey Richard C.

Titolo

Subjective probability : the real thing / / Richard Jeffrey [[electronic resource]]

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Cambridge : , : Cambridge University Press, , 2004

ISBN

1-107-14793-X

1-280-51584-8

0-511-81616-2

0-511-21426-X

0-511-21605-X

0-511-21068-X

0-511-31500-7

0-511-21245-3

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (xvi, 124 pages) : digital, PDF file(s)

Disciplina

121/.63

Soggetti

Probabilities

Judgment

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references (p. 115-120) and index.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Half-title; Title; Copyright; Dedication; Contents; Preface; 1 Probability Primer; 2 Testing Scientific Theories; 3 Probability Dynamics;  Collaboration; 4 Expectation Primer; 5 Updating on Statistics; 6 Choosing; References; Index

Sommario/riassunto

This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an introduction to basic probability theory, there are chapters on scientific hypothesis-testing, on changing your mind in response to generally uncertain observations, on expectations of the values of random variables, on de Finetti's dissolution of the so-called problem of induction, and on decision theory.