1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910456856003321

Titolo

Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies [[electronic resource] /] / Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, National Research Council of the National Academies

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C., : National Academies Press, c2010

ISBN

1-282-55461-1

9786612554612

0-309-11661-9

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (137 p.)

Disciplina

601.12

Soggetti

Disruptive technologies

Technological forecasting

Technological innovations

Electronic books.

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

""Front Matter""; ""Preface""; ""Acknowledgment of Reviewers""; ""Contents""; ""Acronyms and Abbreviations""; ""Glossary""; ""Summary""; ""1 Need for Persistent Long-Term Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies""; ""2 Existing Technology Forecasting Methodologies""; ""3 The Nature of Disruptive Technologies""; ""4 Reducing Forecasting Ignorance and Bias""; ""5 Ideal Attributes of a Disruptive Technology Forecasting System""; ""6 Evaluating Existing Persistent Forecasting Systems""; ""7 Conclusion""; ""Appendixes""; ""Appendix A: Biographical Sketches of Committee Members""

""Appendix B: Meetings and Speakers""