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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910455717003321 |
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Titolo |
Regional economic outlook Asia and Pacific Apr. 08 [[electronic resource]] |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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[Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, c2008 |
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ISBN |
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1-4623-7139-6 |
1-4519-8652-1 |
1-283-53391-X |
1-4519-8093-0 |
9786613846365 |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (50 p.) |
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Collana |
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World economic and financial surveys, , 0258-7440 |
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Soggetti |
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Economic forecasting - Asia |
Economic forecasting - Pacific Area |
Electronic books. |
Asia Foreign economic relations United States |
Asia Economic conditions 1945- |
Asia Economic conditions 1945- Statistics |
Pacific Area Economic conditions |
Pacific Area Economic conditions Statistics |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Description based upon print version of record. |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Cover; Contents; Definitions; Executive Summary; I. Overview; Recent Macroeconomic Developments; Figures; 1.1 Emerging Asia: Real GDP Growth; 1.2 ASEAN-5: Contributions to GDP Growth; 1.3 NIEs: Contributions to GDP Growth; 1.4 Selected Asia: Industrial Production; 1.5 Emerging Asia: Retail Sales Volume; 1.6 Japan, China, and India: Exports of Non-Oil Goods; 1.7 Emerging Asia: Exports of Goods; 1.8 Japan, China, and India: Imports of Non-Oil Goods; 1.9 Emerging Asia: Imports of Goods; 1.10 Emerging Asia: Consumer Prices; 1.11 Emerging Asia: Core CPI; 1.12 Emerging Asia: Producer Prices |
1.13 Emerging Asia: Consumer and Producer Prices1.14 Price-Earnings Ratio; 1.15 Nominal Effective Exchange Rates; Boxes; 1.1 Asian |
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Electronics Exports: Recent Developments and Outlook; 1.2 Asia's ""Nontraditional"" Export Markets; 1.3 Impact of High Oil Prices on Asian Economies: So Far Largely Benign?; Recent Financial Market Developments; Tables; 1.1 Price-Earnings Ratios; 1.16 Selected Asia: Stock Market Indices; 1.17 Selected Asia: Net Equity Inflows; 1.18 Hedge Funds: Total Return; 1.19 Selected Asia: Credit Risk; 1.20 Selected Asia: Bank Loan-to-Deposit Ratios |
1.21 Liquidity Risk: Composite IndicatorOutlook and Risks; 1.22 Japan Domestic Bond Issuance: Samurai Bonds; 1.4 Asia: Lessons from the Subprime Crisis; 1.23 Emerging Asia: Quarterly GDP Growth Forecasts; 1.2 Asia: Real GDP Growth; 1.3 Asia: Real Export Growth; 1.4 Asia: Investment Growth; 1.5 Asia: Private Consumption Growth; Policy Implications; 1.24 Selected Asia: Private Sector Credit Growth; 1.25 Selected Asia: Changes in Policy Rates Since January 1, 2007; 1.26 Selected Asia: Private Sector Inflation Forecasts; 1.27 Selected Asia: Real Monetary Conditions Indices |
1.6 Asia: Selected Fiscal IndicatorsII. Can Asia Decouple? Investigating Spillovers from the United States to Asia; Trade and Financial Exposure to the United States; 2.1 Export Exposure to Industrial Countries; Asia's Growth and Financial Cycles: Are They Synchronized with the United States?; 2.2 Financial Exposure to the United States; 2.3 Growth Correlation with the United States; Estimating U.S. Spillovers; 2.4 Correlations in Stock Market Returns; 2.5 Growth Spillovers Among Regions; 2.6 Recent Growth Spillovers Among Regions; 2.7 Globalization and Spillovers |
2.8 Impact of 1 Percentage Point Decline in U.S. Growth2.1 Impact of 1 Percentage Point Decline in U.S. Growth: Singapore; 2.2 Impact of 1 Percentage Point Decline in U.S. Growth: Taiwan Province of China; 2.3 GEM Simulation: Spillover from U.S. Slowdown (Without Confidence Effect); 2.4 GEM Simulation: Spillover from U.S. Slowdown (With Confidence Effect); Event Study: Impact of U.S. Recessions on Asia; 2.9 Impact of U.S. Recessions; 2.5 GEM Simulation: Contribution of Countercyclical Policies; 2.10 Impact of 2001 U.S. Recession; 2.6 Change in Output Gap and Change in Fiscal Policy in Asia |
2.7 Change in Output Gap and Change in Monetary Policy in Asia |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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2008 is shaping up as a challenging year for Asia. Activity in most economies remains fairly buoyant, but growth in the United States and, to a lesser extent, Europe is slowing sharply. Given its extensive trade and financial linkages with the rest of the world, Asia is unlikely to delink. At the same time, inflation pressures are picking up across much of the region. Moreover, the still-unfolding global financial crisis adds a dimension of uncertainty to the picture, and the balance of risks remains on the downside. However, most countries in the region are well-placed to undertake counter-cy |
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