1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910452407503321

Autore

Cherif Reda

Titolo

Volatility trap [[electronic resource] ] : precautionary saving, investment, and aggregate risk / / prepared by Reda Cherif and Fuad Hasanov

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C., : International Monetary Fund, c2012

ISBN

1-4755-1887-0

1-4755-7069-4

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (23 p.)

Collana

IMF working paper ; ; 12/134

Altri autori (Persone)

HasanovFuad <1978->

Soggetti

Risk

Saving and investment

Electronic books.

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Abstract; Contents; Introduction; II. A "Store-or-Sow" Model of Precautionary Saving and Investment; III. Results and Implications; Figures; 1. Precautionary Saving and the Golden Rule Investment Rate; 2. A Phase Diagram of Precautionary Saving and Investment Rates; 3. Precautionary Saving and Investment Rates vs. Volatility of Permanent Shocks; 4. Precautionary Saving and Investment Rates vs. Volatility of Temporary Shocks; IV. An Empirical Relationship Among Investment, Saving, and Volatility; Tables; 1. Saving, Investment, and Volatility: Descriptive Statistics

5. Saving vs. Investment6. Saving vs. Investment-Saving Ratio; V. Concluding Remarks; 2. Panel Fixed Effects Regressions; References; Appendix Table. Average Investment, Saving, and Volatility (1970-2008)

Sommario/riassunto

We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a ""store-or-sow"" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving in the safe asset and low investment, or a ""volatility trap."" Namely, big savers invest relatively little. In contrast, low volatility of permanent shocks leads to low precautionary saving and high or low investment, depending on the volatility of temporary



shocks. Empirical evidence shows a nonlinear relationship between investment and saving and that investment is a hump-shaped fu