Kondratieff waves, warfare and world security [[electronic resource] /] / edited by Tessaleno C. Devezas

• Record Nr.: UNINA9910451049403321
• Pubbl/distr/stampa: Amsterdam, : IOS Press, 2006; Lancaster, : Gazelle Books, distributor, 2006
• ISBN: 1-280-50522-2; 9786610505227; 1-4237-9738-8; 1-60750-160-0; 600-00-0470-2; 1-60129-139-6
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (352 p.)
• Altri autori (Persone): DevezasTessaleno C
• Disciplina: 338.54
• Soggetti: Long waves (Economics); Military art and science; Electronic books.
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references and index.
• Nota di contenuto: Title page; Prologue. Long Waves and Warfare: An Enduring Controversy; Contents; Kondratieff Waves Revisited: New Concepts on the Interpretation of Long-Term Fluctuations in Economic Growth; The Kondratieff's Waves and Cyclic Dynamics of the Economy and Wars: Theory and Prospects; Toward New Conceptual Models of the Kondratiev Phenomenon; Recurrent Instabilities in K-Wave Macrohistory; A Marxian Model of the U.S. Long Waves with Endogenous Growth of Labor Force; Economic Cycles Under Test: A Spectral Analysis; Are There Long-Term Cycles in the Evolution of the Oil Price? A Research Using the Hodrick-Prescott Filter Did the Fifth K-Wave Begin in 1990-92? Has It Been Aborted by Globalization?; The Cyclic Dynamics of the Venture Capital; If This Long Wave Steeps-Up and Breaks: What Then?; Empirical Evidence and Causation of Kondratieff Cycles; Principles of Self-Organization and Sustainable Development of ; the World Economy: From Local Conflicts to Global Security; Waves of Socio-Economic Development: An Evolutionary Perspective; Who Was Right? Kuznets in 1930 or Schumpeter in 1939?; On Kondratieff's ""Suzdal Letters"" and Transformation of K-Cycles Approach (1932-1938) Kondratieff Waves and Warfare; The Predictive Power of Long Wave Theory, 1989-2004; Did World War II Reset the 'Rhythm' of the Kondratieff Wave?; Long Waves in Global Warfare and Maritime Hegemony? A Complex Systems Perspective; Wars on the Borders of Europe and Socio-Economic Long Cycles; Is History Automatic and Are Wars a la Carte? The Perplexing Suggestions of a System Analysis of Historical Time Series; Long Cycles, Global Wars and World Energy Consumption; Emergent Violence, Global Wars, and Terrorism; Human Behaviors Encountered During the Different Phases of the Kondratieff Cycle The Extent of the Kondratieff Wave's Effect on Violence in the North-South Context; Globalization and Risks of Instability; Cycles of Political Violence: Urban Guerrilla and Insurgent Groups; Reverse Engineering Asymmetric Warfare: Applying Space-Time, Matter-Energy and Organizational-Doctrinal Analysis to Al Qaeda Operations; The Asymmetrical 21st Century Security Reality; The Emergence of Modern Terrorism; Looking into the Future; The Russian Potential of Asymmetrical Wars of the 21st Century: Social-Economic Aspect The Information and Molecular Ages: Will K-Waves Persist?; Warfare and International Security: Future Perspective; Economic Cycles in a Closed Finite World; Innovation Economy: Challenges and Threats to Russia; Global Political Evolution, Long Cycles, and K-Waves; The Social Progress and Security Problems; Alternative Futures for K-Waves; Risk Management in Uncertain Times; Cyclicity of Strategic Challenges in Russian History and Development Scenario for the 21st Century; Author Index
• Sommario/riassunto: Considerable progress has been made in understanding the underlying mechanisms driving the long-wave behaviour of the world socioeconomic development. A controversial mechanism discussed is the close relationship between K-waves and the outbreak of majors wars.