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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910438031203321 |
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Autore |
Zammit-Mangion Andrew |
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Titolo |
Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data / / by Andrew Zammit-Mangion, Michael Dewar, Visakan Kadirkamanathan, Anaïd Flesken, Guido Sanguinetti |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2013 |
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ISBN |
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Edizione |
[1st ed. 2013.] |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (82 p.) |
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Collana |
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SpringerBriefs in Mathematical Methods, , 2365-0834 |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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System theory |
Mathematics |
Social sciences |
Dynamics |
Nonlinear theories |
Probabilities |
Signal processing |
Complex Systems |
Mathematics in the Humanities and Social Sciences |
Applied Dynamical Systems |
Probability Theory |
Signal, Speech and Image Processing |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Description based upon print version of record. |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references and index. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Conflict Data Sets and Point Patterns -- Theory -- Modelling and Prediction in Conflict: Afghanistan. |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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This authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from statistics, signal processing, and ecology, and provide a predictive framework which is able to assimilate data and give confidence estimates on the predictions. The book also |
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demonstrates the methods on the WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary, the results showing that this approach allows deeper insights into conflict dynamics and allows a strikingly statistically accurate forward prediction of armed opposition group activity in 2010, based solely on data from preceding years. The target audience primarily comprises researchers and practitioners in the involved fields but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students. |
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