1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910300113103321

Autore

Hofer Eduard

Titolo

The Uncertainty Analysis of Model Results : A Practical Guide / / by Eduard Hofer

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2018

ISBN

3-319-76297-4

Edizione

[1st ed. 2018.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (XV, 346 p. 129 illus., 107 illus. in color.)

Disciplina

519.5

Soggetti

Statistics

Computer simulation

Mathematical models

Econometrics

Environmental sciences - Mathematics

Security systems

Statistical Theory and Methods

Computer Modelling

Mathematical Modeling and Industrial Mathematics

Quantitative Economics

Mathematical Applications in Environmental Science

Security Science and Technology

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Preface -- Introduction and necessary distinctions -- Step 1: Search -- Step 2: Quantify -- Step 3: Propagate -- Step 4: Estimate uncertainty -- Step 5: Rank uncertainties -- Step 6: Present the analysis and interpret its results -- Practical execution of the analysis -- Uncertainty analysis when separation of uncertainties is required -- Practical examples -- References -- Subject index.

Sommario/riassunto

This book is a practical guide to the uncertainty analysis of computer model applications. Used in many areas, such as engineering, ecology and economics, computer models are subject to various uncertainties at the level of model formulations, parameter values and input data.



Naturally, it would be advantageous to know the combined effect of these uncertainties on the model results as well as whether the state of knowledge should be improved in order to reduce the uncertainty of the results most effectively. The book supports decision-makers, model developers and users in their argumentation for an uncertainty analysis and assists them in the interpretation of the analysis results.