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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910466045903321 |
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Autore |
Sornette Didier <1957-> |
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Titolo |
Why stock markets crash : critical events in complex financial systems / / Didier Sornette, with a new preface by the author |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Princeton, [New Jersey] ; ; Oxford, [England] : , : Princeton University Press, , 2017 |
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©2003 |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (417 pages) : illustrations |
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Collana |
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Princeton Science Library ; ; 49 |
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Classificazione |
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Altri autori (Persone) |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Stocks - Prices - History |
Financial crises - United States - History |
Electronic books. |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references and index. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Frontmatter -- Contents -- Preface to the Princeton Science Library Edition -- Preface to the 2002 Edition -- Chapter 1. Financial Crashes: What, How, Why, and When? -- Chapter 2. Fundamentals of Financial Markets -- Chapter 3. Financial Crashes Are "Outliers" -- Chapter 4. Positive Feedbacks -- Chapter 5. Modeling Financial Bubbles and Market Crashes -- Chapter 6. Hierarchies, Complex Fractal Dimensions, and Log-Periodicity -- Chapter 7. Autopsy of Major Crashes: Universal Exponents and Log-Periodicity -- Chapter 8. Bubbles, Crises, and Crashes in Emergent Markets -- Chapter 9. Prediction of Bubbles, Crashes, and Antibubbles -- Chapter 10. 2050: The End of the Growth Era? -- References -- Index |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. |
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Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets. |
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2. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA9910299396703321 |
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Autore |
Wang Xin |
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Titolo |
The Dawn Angiosperms : Uncovering the Origin of Flowering Plants / / by Xin Wang |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2018 |
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ISBN |
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Edizione |
[2nd ed. 2018.] |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (424 pages) |
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Collana |
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Springer Geology, , 2197-9553 |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Paleontology |
Geology |
Evolution (Biology) |
Plant physiology |
Evolutionary Biology |
Plant Physiology |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references at the end of each chapters and index. |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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This book discusses the controversial and conflicting hypotheses on the origin of angiosperms, which was generally assumed to be restricted to the Cretaceous and later ages. Since publishing the first edition of “The Dawn of Angiosperms” in 2010, several important advances have been made in this field of science, namely 1) the discovery of new fossil angiosperms from the Jurassic; 2) European researchers discovering angiosperm-like pollen from the Triassic; and most importantly 3) the discovery of a perfect flower from the Jurassic. All of these findings are at odds with the currently widely accepted evolutionary theories, and thus call upon us to critically reassess botanical theory. Accordingly, the new edition of this book not only includes more new fossil taxa, but also documents them in greater detail and corrects many commonly held misconceptions. In so doing, it makes related studies and teaching on the early history of angiosperms more realistic, concrete, and tangible, providing concrete |
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fossil evidence as the basis for future research, and helping to distinguish the most accurate botanical hypotheses. |
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