| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA9910254897503321 |
|
|
Autore |
Miles Ian |
|
|
Titolo |
Foresight for Science, Technology and Innovation [[electronic resource] /] / by Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pubbl/distr/stampa |
|
|
Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2016 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ISBN |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Edizione |
[1st ed. 2016.] |
|
|
|
|
|
Descrizione fisica |
|
1 online resource (279 p.) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Collana |
|
Science, Technology and Innovation Studies, , 2570-1509 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Disciplina |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Soggetti |
|
Economic policy |
Management |
Industrial management |
Public administration |
Operations research |
Decision making |
R & D/Technology Policy |
Innovation/Technology Management |
Public Administration |
Operations Research/Decision Theory |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lingua di pubblicazione |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
|
|
|
|
|
Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
|
|
|
|
|
Note generali |
|
Description based upon print version of record. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nota di bibliografia |
|
Includes bibliographical references. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nota di contenuto |
|
1 Introduction -- 2 Foresight for STI - What and Why -- 3 Initiation-Scoping and Managing ForSTI -- 4 Interaction - Participation and Recruitment -- 5 Intelligence - Environmental and Horizon Scanning -- 6 Intelligence - Delphi -- 7 Imagination - Scenarios and Alternative Futures -- 8 Integration - Modelling -- 9 From Integration to Interpretation - Translating ForSTI into Strategies -- 10 Intervention and Impact - Outcomes, Action and Evaluation -- 11 Conclusion. . |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sommario/riassunto |
|
Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
roadmapping should be applied when dealing with high levels of uncertainty. The scope of the book moves beyond “narrow” technology foresight, towards addressing systemic interrelations between social, technological, economic, environmental, and political systems. Applications of foresight tools to such fields as energy, cities, health, transportation, education, and sustainability are considered as well as enabling technologies including nano-, bio-, and information technologies and cognitive sciences. The approaches will be illustrated with specific actual cases. |
|
|
|
|
|
| |