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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910220133803321 |
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Autore |
Davis Paul K. <1943-> |
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Titolo |
Implications of modern decision science for military decision-support systems / / Paul K. Davis, Jonathan Kulick, Michael Egner |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Santa Monica, CA, : Rand, Project Air Force, 2005 |
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ISBN |
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Edizione |
[1st ed.] |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (181 p.) |
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Altri autori (Persone) |
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KulickJonathan <1966-> |
EgnerMichael |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Military planning - United States - Decision making - Data processing |
Decision support systems |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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"Prepared for the United States Air Force, approved for Public release; distribution unlimited." |
"MG-360-AF"--P. [4] cover. |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Cover; Preface; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Acronyms; Chapter One - Introductions; Objective; Definition and Scope; Descriptive Versus Prescriptive Research; Approach in This Monograph; Chapter Two - Human Decisionmaking; How to Think About Decisionmaking; Images of the Decision Process; The Problems of Heuristics and Biases; The Naturalistic School; Military and National-Security OperationalDecisionmaking; Chapter Three - Classic Analysis Concepts and Their Evolution; Decision Analysis and Game Theory; Systems Analysis; Policy Analysis |
Summary of Classic Analysis Components of DecisionScienceChapter Four - Advanced Decision Science for Analysis; Introduction; Broad Methods; Enablers; Chapter Five - the Research Frontier: Reconciling Analytic and Intuitive Considerations; Introduction; Improving Automated Decision Support; Balancing Cold and Story-Based Decision Support; General Recommendations; Chapter Six - Conclusions; The Decisionmaking Component; The Analysis Component; Appendix A - Debiasing an Air Campaign; Appendix B - Rethinking Families of Models; Appendix C - Further Discussion of Judgmental Bias and DSS |
Bibliography |
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