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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910220125103321 |
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Autore |
Treverton Gregory F |
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Titolo |
Making policy in the shadow of the future / / Gregory F. Treverton |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Santa Monica, CA, : RAND, 2010 |
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ISBN |
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1-282-94049-X |
9786612940491 |
0-8330-5074-5 |
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Edizione |
[1st ed.] |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (56 p.) |
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Collana |
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Occasional paper ; ; OP-298-RC |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Political planning - United States |
National security - United States |
United States Foreign relations |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Based on a report submitted by the National Intelligence Council. |
"RAND Investment in People and Ideas." |
Also available online. |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figure and Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Section 1 - Introduction; Section 2 - Shaping U.S. Policy for 2025; Multipolar World, Increased Role of Transnational Actors; Transfer of Wealth from West to East; The United States as the Most Powerful Absolutely, Just Less So Relatively; Unprecedented Economic Growth, More People, and More Pressure on Resources; Destabilizing Youth Bulges Diminish, but Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Others Still Problematic; Increased Potential for Conflict, Given Middle East Turbulence and Proliferating Weaponry |
Fewer but Perhaps More-Lethal TerroristsExcursion: The Global Economic Crisis.; Global Crisis, Global Consequences.; Hyping the Debt; National Regulation and International Cooperation.; Key Uncertainties; Section 3 - Where Might Longer-Term Thinking Change Short-Run Policy?; Right for 2025 and Right for Now; Reshaping Approaches to Energy and Climate Change.; The Context of the "Threat"; Building Capacity for Adapting.; An Agenda for Now; Fiscal Discipline After the Immediate Economic Crisis Is Passed; The Effect of Revolutions in Military Affairs; The Emerging Post-Iraq War Debate |
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The Diffusion of Nuclear WeaponsThe Diffusion of Precision-Guided Munitions; War Through Cyberspace; Visions of the Nuclear Future; Reshaping International Law and Institutions; Refashioning Domestic Institutions; Whither Mexico?; Extending Long-Term Thinking; Back Cover |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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The National Intelligence Council's 2008 report ""Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World"" projects what the world will look like in 2025 based on recent trends. This paper asks: How should U.S. policy adapt now to account for these trends and the future that will result from them? The author explores such issues as climate change, defense, international relations, and the structure of the federal government. |
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