1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910220079503321

Autore

Bruce James B

Titolo

Whither al-Anbar Province? : five scenarios through 2011 / / James B. Bruce, Jeffrey Martini

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Santa Monica, CA, : RAND, 2010

ISBN

1-282-94056-2

9786612940569

0-8330-5081-8

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (28 p.)

Collana

RAND Corporation occasional paper series ; ; OP-278-MCIA

Altri autori (Persone)

MartiniJeffrey

Disciplina

956.7044/31

Soggetti

Social prediction - Iraq - Anbar (Province) - Case studies

Social change - Iraq - Anbar (Province)

Iraq War, 2003-2011 - Influence

Disengagement (Military science)

United States Armed Forces Congresses

Anbar (Iraq : Province) Politics and government 21st century Forecasting Congresses

Anbar (Iraq : Province) Social conditions 21st century Forecasting Congresses

Anbar (Iraq : Province) Economic conditions 21st century Forecasting Congresses

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Report of results of three RAND workshops held in November and December 2008.

"The research ... was conducted in the National Defense Research Institute."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Executive summary -- What does the future hold for Iraq's al-Anbar Province? -- How this study was conducted -- Implications -- Major takeaways -- Study approach -- Assumptions -- Drivers -- Scenario A: Sunni fight for survival -- Scenario B: Every clan for itself -- Scenario C: Iron fist -- Scenario D: Glueless in Baghdad -- Scenario E: Path to stability -- The importance of drivers -- Indications and warnings -- Conclusions and implications.

Sommario/riassunto

As U.S. forces withdraw from Iraq, significant changes can be expected



throughout al-Anbar Province in security, political, economic, and even cultural relationships. RAND convened a series of three one-day workshops at which participants identified five relatively distinct futures, or scenarios, for al-Anbar that provide plausible but alternative trajectories for the province between early 2009 and the end of 2011.