1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910220079403321

Autore

Paul Christopher

Titolo

Victory has a thousand fathers [[electronic resource] ] : sources of success in counterinsurgency / / Christopher Paul, Colin P. Clark, Beth Grill

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Santa Monica, Calif., : RAND National Defence Research Institute, 2010

ISBN

1-282-94053-8

9786612940538

0-8330-5078-8

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (187 p.)

Altri autori (Persone)

ClarkColin P

GrillBeth

Disciplina

355.02/18

355.0218

Soggetti

Counterinsurgency

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"Prepared for the Office of the Secretary of Defence."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; CHAPTER ONE - Introduction; Purpose of This Study; Data and Analyses; About This Monograph and the Accompanying Case Studies; CHAPTER TWO - The Cases; Case Selection and Data Collection; Phased Data; Assessing Case Outcomes; Nicaragua (Somoza), 1978-1979; Afghanistan (Anti-Soviet), 1978-1992; Kampuchea, 1978-1992; El Salvador, 1979-1992; Somalia, 1980-1991; Peru, 1980-1992; Nicaragua (Contras), 1981-1990; Senegal, 1982-2002; Turkey (PKK), 1984-1999; Sudan (SPLA), 1984-2004

Uganda (ADF), 1986-2000 Papua New Guinea, 1988-1998; Liberia, 1989-1997; Rwanda, 1990-1994; Moldova, 1990-1992; Sierra Leone, 1991-2002; Algeria (GIA), 1992-2004; Croatia, 1992-1995; Afghanistan (Post-Soviet), 1992-1996; Tajikistan, 1992-1997; Georgia/Abkhazia, 1992-1994; Nagorno-Karabakh, 1992-1994; Bosnia, 1992-1995; Burundi, 1993-2003; Chechnya I, 1994-1996; Afghanistan (Taliban), 1996-2001; Zaire (Anti-Mobutu), 1996-1997; Kosovo, 1996-1999; Nepal, 1997-2006; Democratic Republic of the



Congo (Anti-Kabila), 1998-2003; Case Narrative Results

CHAPTER THREE - Testing the Approaches to Counterinsurgency Representing the Approaches in the Data; Analysis of the Relationships Between Case Factors and Case Outcomes; Factor Stacks; Tests of Each Approach; Classic COIN Approaches; Contemporary Approaches to COIN; Insurgent Approaches; Summary of the Tests of the Approaches; CHAPTER FOUR - Broader Findings; Scorecard: Balance of Good Versus Bad Practices; Every Insurgency May Be Unique, but Not at This Level of Analysis; Which Successful Approach Is Most Essential? Qualitative Comparative Analysis; Phase Outcomes

CHAPTER FIVE - Conclusions and Recommendations Key Findings; Effective COIN Practices Tend to Run in Packs; The Balance of Good Versus Bad Practices Perfectly Predicts Outcomes; Poor Beginnings Do Not Necessarily Lead to Poor Ends; Repression Wins Phases, but Usually Not Cases; Tangible Support Trumps Popular Support; APPENDIXES; A. Methods and Data; B. Details of Qualitative Comparative Analysis; C. Possible Criticisms of the Analyses and Response Commentary; References

SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL - Matrix of Factors Representing 20 Approaches to COIN and Scorecard of Good Versus Bad COIN Practices and Factors Back Cover

Sommario/riassunto

Insurgency is the most prevalent form of armed conflict and the subject of countless studies, yet the U.S. military has only recently begun to review doctrine and training in this area. An examination of approaches to counterinsurgency from 30 recent resolved campaigns reveals, for example, that good COIN practices tend to ""run in packs"" and that the balance of selected good and bad practices perfectly predicts the outcome of a conflict.