1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910219983003321

Autore

Paul Christopher

Titolo

Counterinsurgency scorecard [[electronic resource] ] : Afghanistan in early 2011 relative to the insurgencies of the past 30 years / / Christopher Paul

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Santa Monica, Calif., : RAND, 2011

ISBN

1-283-22307-4

9786613223074

0-8330-5813-4

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (27 p.)

Collana

Occasional paper

Disciplina

355.02/184

Soggetti

Counterinsurgency - Afghanistan

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Abstract; Findings from Previous Research on 30 Years of Insurgency1; The Counterinsurgency Scorecard; Scoring Afghanistan in 2011; Detailed Factors in the Current Case; Afghanistan in Comparison to Specific Historical Cases; Conclusions and Recommendations; Appendix; Details of the Expert Elicitation; The Delphi Method; The RAND Afghanistan Delphi Exercise; Raw Delphi Scores; References

Sommario/riassunto

A core finding of previous RAND research on 30 years of insurgencies worldwide was that a conflict's overall score on a scorecard of 15 equally weighted good and 12 equally weighted bad counterinsurgency factors and practices perfectly predicted the ultimate outcome. Using the scorecard approach and an expert elicitation (Delphi) exercise, a RAND project sought to extend the findings to the case of Afghanistan in early 2011.