Fault lines in China's economic terrain / / Charles Wolf, Jr. ... [et al.]

• Record Nr.: UNINA9910219964003321
• Pubbl/distr/stampa: Santa Monica, CA, : RAND, 2003
• ISBN: 1-282-45150-2; 9786612451508; 0-8330-3604-1
• Edizione: [1st ed.]
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (237 p.)
• Altri autori (Persone): WolfCharles <1924->
• Disciplina: 330.951
• Soggetti: Public health - China; China Economic conditions 2000-; China Social conditions 2000-
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Note generali: "Prepared for the Office of Net Assessment, Dept. of Defense and the Smith Richardson Foundation."
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references (p. 181-194) and index.
• Nota di contenuto: COVER; PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES; TABLES; SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS; Chapter One - POTENTIAL ADVERSITIES CONFRONTING CHINA'S CONTINUED ECONOMIC GROWTH; PART I - CHINA'S INSTITUTIONAL AND STRUCTURAL FAULT LINES; Chapter Two - MASSIVE UNEMPLOYMENT AND RURAL POVERTY; Chapter Three - ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF CORRUPTION; PART II - SECTORAL FAULT LINES; Chapter Four - EPIDEMIC DISEASE: A WILD CARD IN CHINA'S ECONOMIC FUTURE?; CHINA'S HEALTH PROGRESS SINCE THE "LIBERATION": A LONG MARCH AGAINST INFECTIOUS AND PARASITIC DISEASE; CHINA'S CURRENT HEALTH PROFILE IN INTERNATIONAL AND GEOGRAPHIC PERSPECTIVE PROSPECTS FOR EPIDEMIC DISEASE IN CONTEMPORARY CHINA: THE RISKS OF BEHAVIOR-BORNE COMMUNICABLE ILLNESSES; MODELING POSSIBLE TRAJECTORIES FOR AN HIV EPIDEMIC IN CHINA; ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS FOR CHINA OF HIV"BREAKOUT""; Chapter Five - WATER RESOURCES AND POLLUTION; ESTIMATING WATER SUPPLY AND DEMAND; IDENTIFYING THE CONSEQUENCES OF FLOOD, WATER SHORTAGE, AND POLLUTION ON THE ECONOMY; ALTERNATIVES TO ABATE THE PROBLEM, AND THE ; EXPECTED COST AND BENEFITS; ECONOMIC AND SECURITY IMPLICATIONS; Chapter Six - GDP EFFECTS OF AN ENERGY PRICE SHOCK SOME BASIC DATA ON THE CHINESE ENERGY SECTOR AND CHINESE GDP; OIL PRICE EFFECTS OF A "SEVERE" OIL SUPPLY DISRUPTION; EFFECTS ON CHINESE GDP; PART III - FINANCIAL FAULT LINES; Chapter Seven - CHINA'S FRAGILE FINANCIAL SYSTEM AND THE STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES; AN INEFFECTUAL CENTRAL BANK; A FRAGILE COMMERCIAL BANKING SYSTEM; UNREGULATED FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS; ADVERSE SCENARIOS: FINANCIAL CRISES AND SLACK ECONOMIC GROWTH; Chapter Eight - POSSIBLE SHRINKAGE OF FOREIGN CAPITAL INFLOWS; INTRODUCTION: SOME RELEVANT BACKGROUND; WHAT WILL AFFECT FDI IN CHINA IN THE 2002-2010 PERIOD? EFFECTS OF FDI ON CHINA'S ECONOMIC GROWTH; CONCLUSIONS; PART IV - SECURITY FAULT LINES; Chapter Nine - TAIWAN AND OTHER POTENTIAL CONFLICTS; BACKGROUND AND CURRENT STATUS; THE POSSIBILITY OF SERIOUS DETERIORATION FROM THE STATUS QUO; OTHER CONFLICT POSSIBILITIES; Chapter Ten - CONCLUSIONS: FAULT LINES IN CHINA'S ECONOMIC TERRAIN; FINDINGS AND BOTTOM LINES; EPILOGUE; BIBLIOGRAPHY; ABOUT THE AUTHORS; INDEX
• Sommario/riassunto: The authors consider how and by how much China?s stellar economic performance might be impaired by eight potential adversities that China may face in the next decade: unemployment, poverty, and social unrest; corruption; HIV/AIDS and epidemic diseases; water resource problems and pollution; energy consumption and prices; the fragile financial system and state-owned enterprises; curtailed foreign direct investment; and serious military conflicts.