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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910219961803321 |
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Titolo |
Estimating terrorism risk / / Henry H. Willis ... [et al.] |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Santa Monica, CA, : RAND, 2005 |
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ISBN |
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Edizione |
[1st ed.] |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (93 p.) |
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Collana |
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Rand Corporation monograph series |
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Altri autori (Persone) |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Terrorism - United States - Prevention |
Terrorism - Risk assessment - United States |
Federal aid to terrorism prevention - United States - Planning |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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"MG-388-RC"--P. [4] of cover. |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references (p. 63-66). |
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Nota di contenuto |
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The RAND Center for Terrorism Risk Management Policy; Center for Terrorism Risk Management AdvisoryBoard; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Glossary; CHAPTER ONE- Introduction; Risk Assessment Versus Resource Allocation; Scope and Limitations; Overview of This Monograph; CHAPTER TWO- Terrorism Risk and Its Components; Threat; Vulnerability; Consequences; Risk as a Function of Threat, Vulnerability, andConsequences; CHAPTER THREE- Accounting for Uncertainty and Values in Terrorism Risk Assessment |
Uncertainties in the Estimation of Threat, Vulnerability,and ConsequencesReflecting Values in Terrorism Risk Management; Implications of Uncertainty and Values for Managing Terrorism Risk; CHAPTER FOUR- Two Approaches to Estimating Terrorism Risk in Urban Areas; Simple Risk Indicators: Population-Based Metrics; Event-Based Models: The RMS Terrorism Risk Model; Comparison of Population, Density-Weighted Population,and the Aggregated Estimate of Urban Area Risk Shares; CHAPTER FIVE- Evaluating the Performance of Different Estimates of Terrorism Risk; The Performance of Terrorism Risk Estimates |
CHAPTER SIX- Conclusions and RecommendationsDefining Terrorism Risk; Reflecting Uncertainty in Terrorism Risk Assessment; Simple Versus Event-Based Risk Estimates; Recommendations; APPENDIX- Supporting Figures and Table; Bibliography |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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This monograph provides a practical definition of terrorism risk, presents a method of estimating it, and demonstrates a framework for evaluating this method. Results support conclusions on how to improve risk-based resource allocation. |
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