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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910155014303321 |
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Autore |
Dizioli Allan |
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Titolo |
Spillovers from the Maturing of China’s Economy / / Allan Dizioli, Benjamin Hunt, Wojciech Maliszewski |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2016 |
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ISBN |
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1-4755-5443-5 |
1-4755-5447-8 |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (32 pages) : illustrations |
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Collana |
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Altri autori (Persone) |
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HuntBenjamin |
MaliszewskiWojciech |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Business cycles - China |
Exports and Imports |
Macroeconomics |
Public Finance |
Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation |
Open Economy Macroeconomics |
International Business Cycles |
Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts |
One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models |
National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures |
Other Public Investment and Capital Stock |
Commodity Markets |
Trade: General |
Externalities |
Public finance & taxation |
International economics |
Public investment spending |
Commodity prices |
Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP) |
Exports |
Spillovers |
Expenditure |
Prices |
International trade |
Financial sector policy and analysis |
Public investments |
Public-private sector cooperation |
International finance |
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China Economic conditions |
China, People's Republic of |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references. |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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China’s transition to a new growth model continues and the impact has been felt across the globe. Several trends contribute to the ‘maturing’ of China’s economy: i) structural slowing on the convergence path; ii) on-shoring deepening; and iii) demand rebalancing from investment towards consumption. In the short term, financial stress may lead to a cyclical slowdown. This paper discusses and quantifies spillovers to the global economy from these different developments. The analysis is undertaken using the APDMOD and G20MOD, both modules of the IMF’s Flexible System of Global Models. For plausible values of these developments, the overall impact on the global economy is not large. However, the impact on China’s closest trading partners and commodity exporters can be notable. |
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