Global demographic change and its implications for military power / / Martin C. Libicki, Howard J. Shatz, Julie E. Taylor

• Record Nr.: UNINA9910141116903321
• Autore: Libicki Martin C
• Pubbl/distr/stampa: Santa Monica, CA, : RAND, 2011
• ISBN: 1-283-26808-6; 9786613268082; 0-8330-5247-0
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (xxviii, 141 pages) : color illustrations
• Collana: Rand Corporation monograph series
• Altri autori (Persone): ShatzHoward J; TaylorJulie E. <1968->
• Disciplina: 355/.033073
• Soggetti: Armed Forces - Mobilization - Forecasting; Balance of power - Forecasting; Military policy - Forecasting; Demographic transition; Manpower policy - United States; Population aging - Economic aspects; Security, International - Economic aspects; War - Forecasting; United States Military policy Forecasting; United States Population Forecasting
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Note generali: "Project Air Force."; "MG-1091-AF"--P. [4] of cover.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references.
• Nota di contenuto: Cover; Title Page; Copyright Page; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; Chapter One: Introduction; Organization; Chapter Two: Numbers; Fertility Rates; Survival Rates; Migration; Projections; Youth Bulges to Come?; Projected Muslim Populations; Conclusions; Chapter Three: Long-Term Trends in National GDP; Forecasts of GDP per Working-Age Population; Uncertainties in the Relationship Between Aging and GDP; Conclusions; Chapter Four: The Economic Burden of Aging Populations; Policies Plus People Equals Burden; A Profile of the Aging World; The Advanced Countries The Developing Countries; Medical Expenditures; Ambiguities in the Relationship Between Aging and Medical Expenditures; Counter evidence That Costs May Rise with Aging; Summing Up Aging and Medical Costs; Pension Expenditures and the Fiscal Burden; Implications for the Fiscal Burden, or the Lack Thereof; Conclusions; Chapter Five: The Influence of Demographics on the Causes of War; Chapter Six: The Impact of Demographic Trends on Military Power Projection; Manpower, Money, and Technical Expertise; Manpower; National Income; Technical Expertise; Other; The Contribution of Demographics to Various Military Missions Nuclear Coercion; Commons Control; Surveillance; Conventional Combat; Raids and Seizures; Counterinsurgency; Military Operations Other Than War; Implications; Chapter Seven: Implications; Findings; Major Themes; The Once and Future Indispensable Nation; The Shrinking Zone of War; Lessons for the Air Force; Appendixes; Appendix A:Delayed Maternity and Fertility Rates; Appendix B:Trade-Offs Between Fertility Rates and Migration Rates; Bibliography
• Sommario/riassunto: What is the impact of demographics on the prospective production of military power and the causes of war? This monograph analyzes this issue by projecting working-age populations through 2050; assessing the influence of demographics on manpower, national income and expenditures, and human capital; and examining how changes in these factors may affect the ability of states to carry out military missions.