Building cycles : growth & instability / / Richard Barras

• Record Nr.: UNINA9910139948603321
• Autore: Barras Richard
• Pubbl/distr/stampa: Chichester, West Sussex, U.K., : Ames, Iowa, : Wiley-Blackwell, c2009
• ISBN: 1-282-27849-5; 9786612278495; 1-4443-1000-3; 1-4443-1001-1
• Edizione: [1st ed.]
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (450 p.)
• Collana: Real estate issues
• Disciplina: 307.76
• Soggetti: Cities and towns - Growth; Community development, Urban; Business cycles; Construction industry; Real property - Valuation
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references and index.
• Nota di contenuto: Cover; Contents; Preface; Abbreviations used in the text; 1 Introduction: A Historical Approach; The idea of cyclical growth; A historical perspective; Historical examples; Imperial Rome; Tudor and Stuart London; An illustrative building cycle: London (1714-1900); The structure of the book; 2 Growth and Cycles: The Economic Debate; The underlying theme; The growth story; The classical economists; The neoclassical revolution; Technology and growth; Keynes; The neoclassical growth model; Modern growth theory; Historical dependence; Historical perspectives on business cycles; Pioneering studies; Measuring trend and cycle A family of cycles; Long waves; Business cycle theory; Impulse and propagation: Multiplier-accelerator models; Non-linear models; Rational expectations; New Classical theory; New Keynesian theory; Summary: Theories of growth and cycles; 3 The Nature of Building Cycles; A long and violent cycle; Historical building cycle research; The first wave of empirical studies; Theoretical perspectives; The post-war empirical tradition; Three key studies; ; Modern property cycle research; Long cycles: Fact or artifact?; New perspectives and established traditions; The formation of market expectations The integration of real estate and capital markets; Globalization and speculative bubbles; Towards a satisfactory theory of the building cycle; What we know about building cycles; A conceptual model of the building cycle; 4 Building Investment and Economic Growth; Buildings as means of production; Investment and technical progress; Building versus equipment capital; Cyclical growth; Building investment as driver of growth; Building investment and UK growth (1855-2005); A growth model with building capital; The trajectory of US growth (1929-2005); Building investment as generator of cycles The identification of economic cycles; UK investment cycles (1855-2005); US investment cycles (1901-2005); Appendix: The growth model; 5 Building Investment and Urban Development; Urban innovation and accumulation; The city in history; Urban agglomeration; The growth of cities; Transport and suburbanization; A comparison of UK and US urban development cycles; The data; Structural models; Growth trajectories; Long cycles; Cycle phasing; Explanatory variables; Cycle histories; Variations in growth; The transport-building cycle; Turning points; A UK building cycle chronology (1785-2005)Long cycles and major cycles; The first industrial revolution (1785-1856); The second industrial revolution (1856-88); The age of electricity (1888-1918); Inter-war turbulence (1918-44); The post-war consumer boom (1944-81); The computer age (1981-2008?); The London building cycle (1714-2005); Middlesex deeds (1714-1900); London house-building (1856-2005); A London building cycle chronology; 6 Case Study: The City of London Office Market; The development of the city economy; City of capital; The City in the sixteenth to eighteenth centuries; The Victorian and Edwardian City
• Sommario/riassunto: The global economic crisis of 2008 was precipitated by a housing market crash, thus highlighting the destabilizing influence of the property cycle upon the wider economy. This timely book by a world authority explores why cycles occur and how they affect the behaviour of real estate markets. The central argument put forward is that growth and instability are inextricably linked, and that building investment acts both as a key driver of growth and as the source of the most volatile cyclical fluctuations in an economy. The role of building cycles in both economic growth and urban development