| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA9910132893103321 |
|
|
Titolo |
Amerikastudien = : American studies |
|
|
|
|
|
Pubbl/distr/stampa |
|
|
Stuttgart, : J.B. Metzlersche Verlagsbuchhandlung, 1974- |
|
München, : Wilhelm Fink Verlag |
|
Heidelberg, : Universitätsverlag C. Winter |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ISSN |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Descrizione fisica |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Disciplina |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Soggetti |
|
Civilization |
Periodicals. |
United States Civilization Periodicals |
United States |
États-Unis Civilisation Périodiques |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lingua di pubblicazione |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
|
|
|
|
|
Livello bibliografico |
Periodico |
|
|
|
|
|
Note generali |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA9910141382703321 |
|
|
Autore |
MacLeod John F |
|
|
Titolo |
Explaining criminal careers : implications for justice policy / / John F. MacLeod, Peter G. Grove, David P. Farrington |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pubbl/distr/stampa |
|
|
Oxford, : Oxford University Press, 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ISBN |
|
9780191781568 |
0191781568 |
9781283658232 |
1283658232 |
9780191645242 |
0191645249 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Edizione |
[First edition.] |
|
|
|
|
|
Descrizione fisica |
|
1 online resource (273 pages) : illustrations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Collana |
|
Clarendon studies in criminology |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Altri autori (Persone) |
|
GrovePeter G |
FarringtonDavid P |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Disciplina |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Soggetti |
|
Criminals - Great Britain |
Criminal justice, Administration of - Great Britain |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lingua di pubblicazione |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
|
|
|
|
|
Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
|
|
|
|
|
Note generali |
|
Description based upon print version of record. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nota di bibliografia |
|
Includes bibliographical references and index. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nota di contenuto |
|
Cover; Contents; 1. Criminal Career Research, Mathematical Models, and Testing Quantitative Predictions from Theories; Background; Blumstein and Cohen (1979); The National Academy Panel; Explaining the Growth in Recidivism Probabilities; Explaining the Individual Offending Frequency; Objections to Criminal Career Research; Criminal Career Research in the Last 20 Years; Aims of this Book; Methodological Notes; 2. An Analysis of the Offenders Index; Sources of Data; Recidivism; Reconviction Rate; Reconciling the Risk and Rate Categories; Gender; Is Criminality Constant over the Cohorts? |
3. The Theory and a Simple ModelOrientation; Introduction; The Assumptions of our Theory; Explaining the Age-Crime Curve; The Rise in Crime from 10 to 17 Years of Age; Modelling the Age-Crime Curve; The 100,000 Active Prolific Offenders; Corollaries and Comments; Conclusion; 4. Criminal Careers of Serious, Less Serious, and Trivial Offenders; Orientation; Introduction; Offenders with Custody at First Court Appearance; Custody Rates; Serious Offenders; Less Serious |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Offenders; Serious Offences; Simplified Modelling of Convictions for Serious Offences; Simplified Modelling of all Convictions |
Versatility or Specialization in OffendingTrivial Offenders; Conclusion; 5. Is Age the Primary Influence on Offending?; Orientation; Introduction; Possible Types of Age Dependence; Testing the Theories; Conclusion; 6. Characteristics of Individuals; Orientation; Introduction; The Rationale and Development of OASys; Analysis of the Pilot OASys Data; The Distribution of Section 11 Scores; Is there Structure in the Section 11 Information in OASys?; Homogeneous and Heterogeneous Section 11 Questions; Conclusions from the OASys Pilot Data Analysis; Analysis of Operational OASys Data |
Analysis of April 2004 PNC Conviction DataConclusions; 7. Applications for Managing the Criminal Justice System; Orientation; Introduction; The Flow Model; Predicting the Prison Population; The DNA Database; Conclusion; 8. Criminal Policy Implications; Orientation; Introduction; Overview of the Theory; The Categories; Areas where Policy could Influence Crime; Childhood Early Interventions; Early Career Interventions; Increasing the Efficiency of Conviction; Offender Treatment Programmes; Prolific and other Priority Offenders; Implications and Uses of the Theory; Frequently Asked Questions |
9. Summary and ConclusionsSummary; The Origin of the Offender Categories; Criminality; Recidivism; Conviction Rate λ; The Effects of Formal Warnings and Cautions; The Criminal Career Debate; Conclusions; Appendix: Mathematical Notes; Introduction; Constant Probability Systems; Allocation of Offenders to the Risk/Rate Categories; An Alternative Modelling Approach; Incapacitation; Steady State Solutions; Estimating the Active Offender Population Size; Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Recidivism Parameters; Bibliography; Index; A; B; C; D; F; G; I; L; M; N; O; P; R; S; T; V |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sommario/riassunto |
|
Using the Home Office Offenders Index, a unique database containing records of all criminal convictions in England and Wales since 1963, this simple but influential theory makes exact quantitative predictions about criminal careers and age-crime curves, in particular the prison population contingent on a given sentencing policy. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |