1.

Record Nr.

UNINA990005842530403321

Autore

Collison-Morley, L.

Titolo

The early Medici / by L. Collison-Morley

Pubbl/distr/stampa

London : George Rputledge & Sons, 1935

Descrizione fisica

XI, 352 p. ; 22 cm

Locazione

FLFBC

Collocazione

BIBL.FOL. 657

Lingua di pubblicazione

Italiano

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

2.

Record Nr.

UNINA9911019911203321

Titolo

Sensitivity analysis in practice : a guide to assessing scientific models / / Andrea Saltelli ... [et al.]

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Hoboken, NJ, : Wiley, c2004

ISBN

9786610539789

9781280539787

128053978X

9780470870945

047087094X

9780470870952

0470870958

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (233 p.)

Altri autori (Persone)

SaltelliA <1953-> (Andrea)

Disciplina

003/.5

Soggetti

Sensitivity theory (Mathematics) - Simulation methods

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references (p. [211]-216) and index.



Nota di contenuto

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS IN PRACTICE; CONTENTS; PREFACE; 1 A WORKED EXAMPLE; 1.1 A simple model; 1.2 Modulus version of the simple model; 1.3 Six-factor version of the simple model; 1.4 The simple model 'by groups'; 1.5 The (less) simple correlated-input model; 1.6 Conclusions; 2 GLOBAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS FOR IMPORTANCE ASSESSMENT; 2.1 Examples at a glance; 2.2 What is sensitivity analysis?; 2.3 Properties of an ideal sensitivity analysis method; 2.4 Defensible settings for sensitivity analysis; 2.5 Caveats; 3 TEST CASES; 3.1 The jumping man. Applying variance-based methods

3.2 Handling the risk of a financial portfolio: the problem of hedging. Applying Monte Carlo filtering and variance-based methods3.3 A model of fish population dynamics. Applying the method of Morris; 3.4 The Level E model. Radionuclide migration in the geosphere. Applying variance-based methods and Monte Carlo filtering; 3.5 Two spheres. Applying variance based methods in estimation/calibration problems; 3.6 A chemical experiment. Applying variance based methods in estimation/calibration problems; 3.7 An analytical example. Applying the method of Morris; 4 THE SCREENING EXERCISE

4.1 Introduction4.2 The method of Morris; 4.3 Implementing the method; 4.4 Putting the method to work: an analytical example; 4.5 Putting the method to work: sensitivity analysis of a fish population model; 4.6 Conclusions; 5 METHODS BASED ON DECOMPOSING THE VARIANCE OF THE OUTPUT; 5.1 The settings; 5.2 Factors Prioritisation Setting; 5.3 First-order effects and interactions; 5.4 Application of S(i) to Setting 'Factors Prioritisation'; 5.5 More on variance decompositions; 5.6 Factors Fixing (FF) Setting; 5.7 Variance Cutting (VC) Setting; 5.8 Properties of the variance based methods

5.9 How to compute the sensitivity indices: the case of orthogonal input5.9.1 A digression on the Fourier Amplitude Sensitivity Test (FAST); 5.10 How to compute the sensitivity indices: the case of non-orthogonal input; 5.11 Putting the method to work: the Level E model; 5.11.1 Case of orthogonal input factors; 5.11.2 Case of correlated input factors; 5.12 Putting the method to work: the bungee jumping model; 5.13 Caveats; 6 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS IN DIAGNOSTIC MODELLING: MONTE CARLO FILTERING AND REGIONALISED SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS, BAYESIAN UNCERTAINTY ESTIMATION AND GLOBAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

6.1 Model calibration and Factors Mapping Setting6.2 Monte Carlo filtering and regionalised sensitivity analysis; 6.2.1 Caveats; 6.3 Putting MC filtering and RSA to work: the problem of hedging a financial portfolio; 6.4 Putting MC filtering and RSA to work: the Level E test case; 6.5 Bayesian uncertainty estimation and global sensitivity analysis; 6.5.1 Bayesian uncertainty estimation; 6.5.2 The GLUE case; 6.5.3 Using global sensitivity analysis in the Bayesian uncertainty estimation; 6.5.4 Implementation of the method; 6.6 Putting Bayesian analysis and global SA to work: two spheres

6.7 Putting Bayesian analysis and global SA to work: a chemical experiment

Sommario/riassunto

Sensitivity analysis should be considered a pre-requisite for statistical model building in any scientific discipline where modelling takes place. For a non-expert, choosing the method of analysis for their model is complex, and depends on a number of factors. This  book guides the non-expert through their problem in order to enable them to choose and apply the most appropriate method. It offers a review of the state-of-the-art in sensitivity analysis, and is suitable for a wide range of practitioners. It is focussed on the use of SIMLAB - a widely distributed freely-available sensitivity anal