1.

Record Nr.

UNINA990000876330403321

Autore

Ang, Alfredo Hua-Sing

Titolo

Probability concepts in engineering planning and design / Alfredo H-S. Ang, Wilson H. Tang

Pubbl/distr/stampa

New York : John Wiley & Sons, 1975

Descrizione fisica

2 v. ; 22 cm

Altri autori (Persone)

Tang, Wilson H.

Disciplina

620.004.2

Locazione

IINTC

DINEL

Collocazione

03 M.O,328

03 M.0.327

10 D II 620

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Nota di contenuto

1.: Basic principles 2.: Decision, risk and reliability



2.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910956788803321

Autore

Kisinbay Turgut

Titolo

Setting the Operational Framework for Producing Inflation Forecasts / / Turgut Kisinbay, Eric Parrado, Rodolfo Maino, Jorge Canales Kriljenko

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006

ISBN

9786613820051

9781462322565

1462322565

9781452734002

1452734003

9781282391628

1282391623

9781451985238

1451985231

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (47 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

Canales KriljenkoJorge

MainoRodolfo

ParradoEric

Soggetti

Inflation (Finance) - Forecasting

Monetary policy

Banks and banking, Central

Banking

Banks and Banking

Banks and banking

Banks

Central bank policy rate

Deflation

Depository Institutions

Economic Forecasting

Economic forecasting

Forecasting and Other Model Applications

Forecasting

Inflation targeting

Inflation

Interest rates

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

Macroeconomics

Micro Finance Institutions



Monetary economics

Monetary Policy

Money and Monetary Policy

Mortgages

Price Level

Prices

New Zealand

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"May 2006."

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. FORECAST DESIGN AND ORGANIZATION""; ""III. ELEMENTS OF THE FORECAST""; ""IV. MISCELLANEOUS TOPICS""; ""References""

Sommario/riassunto

How should a central bank organize itself to produce the best possible inflation forecast? This paper discusses elements for building a comprehensive platform for an inflation forecasting framework. It describes the exercise of forecasting inflation as a production process, which induces a strict discipline concerning data management, information gathering, the use of a suitable statistical apparatus, and the exercise of sound communication strategies to reinforce reputation and credibility. It becomes critical how a central bank organizes itself to produce relevant macroeconomic forecasts, with special consideration to product design, the essential requirements needed in the forecasting process, and key related organizational issues. In addition, the paper proposes to factor into the process the authorities' policy responses to previous inflation forecasts in order to be consistent with the spirit of the inflation targeting framework.